Key Points
- Dolphins face Commanders in Madrid
- Patriots look for win number 9
- Bills eager to bounce back
NFL Week 11 Championship Betting Preview
The NFL season is starting to heat up as we enter week 11. There are 15 games taking place from Thursday night right through until Monday evening. The two teams on a bye this weekend are the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints. Our NFL tipster Dave Kuzio has picked out his best NFL betting tips for the weekend.
New York Jets @ New England Patriots - Thursday/Friday 01:15 GMT
On paper, this game looks like a comfortable home win. However, there is no such thing as a certain win when it comes to sports betting. The Jets are struggling this season with quarterback Justin Fields struggling to hit top form. The Jets are currently 2-7 and they will need Fields to be firing on all cylinders this week. He has plenty of offensive weapons at his disposal with the likes of Breece Hall, Isaiah Davis and Tyrod Taylor - but for some reason it is not clicking yet. The Patriots are looking good this season - and probably for the first time since Tom Brady left the franchise. They are currently 8-2 and QB Drake Maye is their go-to guy with 2555 yards and 19 touchdowns to his name. His receivers are constantly getting open with Stefon Diggs, Kayshon Boutte and Hunter Henry all contributing to 12 touchdowns between them. I cannot see anything past a win for the Patriots in this one.
NFL Betting Tip: New England Patriots to win @ 1/8
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Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins - Sunday 18:00 GMT
When these two teams were announced to take an NFL game to Spain, it looked like a mouth-watering encounter. Unfortunately, it now looks like a damp squid with both teams struggling for any real form. Yes the Dolphins come into this game on the back of a stunning 30-13 win over the Buffalo Bills, but performances like that have been few and far between in 2025. They are 3-7 and still have a lot of things to fix up if they are to pick up a few more wins. Star QB Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 13 interceptions already this season, you are not winning many games with that kind of record. However, when he is on form, he is unplayable. The Dolphins fans making the trip to Madrid will be hoping it is this Tua that turns up. Many experts thought the Commanders would be a Super Bowl contender in 2025, unfortunately poor form and a chronic injury list has put paid to that. Washington will be without the likes of Jayden Daniels, Terry McLaurin, Marshon Lattimore, Luke McCaffrey, Noah Brown, Drake Jackson, Austin Ekeler, Trey Amos and Treylon Burks all still out injured. Washington Commanders have lost five successive matches and it is difficult to see where the next win is coming from. Marcus Mariota will once again deputise for Daniels, but he just does not have the weapons at his disposal. It goes against what I believe backing against the Commanders, but I cannot see anything other than a win for the Dolphins.
NFL Betting Tip - Miami Dolphins to beat Washington Commanders @ 8/13
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Buffalo Bills - Sunday 18:00 GMT
The Buffalo Bills will still be smarting from their 30-13 loss at the hands of the struggling Miami Dolphins in week 10. The Bills were stunned by a hungry Dolphins outfit. It was not like the Bills were terrible. Josh Allen threw for over 300 yards with two touchdown passes, but it was their defence that let them down as they conceded 30 points and failed to complete a single sack. The Bucs have an identical record as the Bills with 6-3, and they also come into this game on the back of a defeat. QB Baker Mayfield threw three touchdown passes for 273 yards, but again he was let down by his defence as they conceded four TDs in a 28-23 loss at the hands of the New England Patriots. Both teams will be looking to get back to winning ways, and I feel it will be Allen and his Bills that will get the victory. I expect both Allen and James Cook to have big games. I am backing them both to score touchdowns, but for this simple NFL tip I am backing the Bills to win the game.
NFL Betting Tip - Buffalo Bills to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 4/11
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Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons - Sunday 18:00 GMT
Carolina Panthers are currently second on the NFC South ladder with a 5-5 record. If the season ended today, they would miss out on the play-offs, so they are well aware they still have plenty of work to do. They come into this game on the back of a 17-7 loss against the New Orleans Saints. They need to be beating teams like the Saints if they are to make it to the play-offs. Another team who would not be in the play-offs if the season ended now is the Atlanta Falcons. They are 3-6 and have lost four straight matches. Their last win was over the Bills -which shows they are capable of performing when it matters. They have since lost against the Niners, Dolphins, Patriots and Colts. I cannot see things getting any better for them this weekend. I am expecting Bryce Young to guide his team to victory with the Panthers coming out on top in a comfortable manner.
NFL Betting Tip - Carolina Panthers to beat Atlanta Falcons @ 33/20
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Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars - Sunday 18:00 GMT
The LA Chargers look to be dark horses in the NFL this season. They are currently second in the AFC West thanks to a record of 7-3. They are ranked fifth in the AFC side of the play-offs and would be involved in the post-season if the campaign ended today. The Chargers have won three games in succession and come into their week 11 clash on the back of a 25-10 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Justin Herbert has been in good form this season for the Chargers. He has thrown for 2610 yards with 19 touchdowns. If he stays fit and in form, then the Chargers have a great chance of making the play-offs. They take on a Jaguars side who are 5-4 at the moment. They come into Sunday's clash on the back of a 36-29 loss against the Houston Texans. I like the look of the Chargers this season and with Herbert playing out of his skin, I expect them to get the better of the Jaguars.
NFL Betting Tip - Los Angeles Chargers to beat Jacksonville Jaguars @ 16/25
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Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings - Sunday 18:00 GMT
The Chicago Bears are another dark horse to make the Super Bowl this season. There are still huge question marks over whether of not Caleb Williams is good enough, but at the moment he is getting through some big games. The Monsters of the Midway are 6-3 this season and have won four of their last five matches. They came from behind to make it two wins in succession thanks to a24-20 victory over the New York Giants. Williams can be hit and miss, but he connects well with the likes of Rome Odunze and D'Andre Swift they are hard to beat. They face the Vikings in a Divisional round - which means form can go out of the window. The Vikings are 4-5 and have lost three from four since their bye round. They head into this game on the back of a 27-19 loss against the Baltimore Ravens. If they have any hope of making the play-offs, they need to beat the Bears. Unfortunately, or fortunately for the Vikings, I am backing the Bears to win this game.
NFL Betting Tip - Chicago Bears to beat Minnesota Vikings @ 29/20
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San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals - Sunday 21:05 GMT
The 49ers are currently third in the NFC West and in danger of missing out on a play-off position. They might have a winning record, but they have already lost four. They need to keep a tight ship if they are to extend their season into the New Year. They have won two and lost three of their last five matches and come into this game on the back of a 42-26 hammering at the hands of the Los Angeles Rams. Mac Jones threw three touchdown passes last week, but it counts for nothing if the defence is shipping in over 40 points. The Cardinals have a losing record and they will need nothing short of a miracle to reach the play-offs. They are 3-6 and find themselves bottom of the NFC West. Their recent form has seen them three from four. They also let over 40 points past them last weekend as they were turned over 44-22 at the expense of the Seattle Seahawks. The Niners are not at their best this year, but with Jones, Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Juan Jennings and Brian Robinson Jr on the offence, they should have enough to beat the Cardinals.
NFL Betting Tip - San Francisco 49ers to beat Arizona Cardinals @ 4/6
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Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos - Sunday 21:25 GMT
Kansas City Chiefs might not be at their fluent best in 2025, but as long as Patrick Mahomes has the ball in his hand, they will always have a fighting chance. They have a winning record of 5-4, but it seems like a lot of teams are not afraid of facing the Chiefs anymore. Yes, they still have Mahomes and Travis Kelce, but that air of invincibility seems to have disappeared. They saw a three game winning streak come to an end in round 9 as they went down 28-21 against the Buffalo Bills. That meant they went into the bye week on a loss with plenty to think about. They take on a Denver Broncos side who do not fear a single team this season. They have an amazing record of 8-2 and have won seven straight matches. They were not at their best in week 10 as they ground out a narrow 10-7 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. They will need to be on their game if they are to beat the Chiefs this weekend. Despite my head screaming to back the Broncos considering they are on an amazing run, I just feel like the Chiefs will be looking to prove they are still one of the best teams in the NFL. I am backing a Chiefs win.
NFL Betting Tip - Kansas City Chiefs to beat Denver Broncos @ 1/2
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NFL Welcome Betting Offers
Despite being a very popular sport among sports bettors, you will not find many NFL welcome offers, but that does not mean you cannot take advantage of any bonuses when placing bets at
NFL betting sites.
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After the result of your bet comes in, the £10 free bet becomes available on your bonus page. The free bet needs to be wagered only once before it can be paid out. However, the £10 free bet being deducted from any potential winnings is a potential turn off.
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Only one of the free bets is available to be used on the NFL. It is still a decent offer, you can use the £10 bet on an NFL acca or a bet builder on a certain game.
NFL Week 11 Betting Accumulator
You will have noticed that I have not covered every single game this weekend. I do not want to overload you with too much information. However, you can take a look at my NFL acca below and place one big bet if that is what you like betting on.
- Patriots to win - 1/8
- Dolphins to win - 8/13
- Panthers to win - 33/20
- Packers to win - 27/100
- Bears to win - 29/20
- Steelers to win - 2/5
- Bills to win - 4/11
- Texans to win - 27/100
- Chargers to win - 16/25
- Rams to win - 8/13
- 49ers to win - 4/6
- Chiefs to win - 1/2
- Ravens to win - 2/9
- Eagles to win - 4/6
- Cowboys to win - 11/20
Acca Odds - 750/1
