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Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace Betting Tips: Market offers up simple value bet

Publish Date: 18/10/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland
Key Points
  • Two teams with contrasting starts to the season
  • Kiwi Wood in red-hot form
  • Odds too good to be true?

Nottingham Forest take on a winless Crystal Palace side on Monday night at the City Ground looking to continue their promising start to the campaign.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s team currently sit 10th in the PL table, 8 places and 7 points better off than The Eagles who are in the relegation places with just 3 points from their 7 fixtures. The Reds have only lost 1 of their opening 7 PL games and have only conceded more than 1 goal in a match once so far.

For Palace and head coach Oliver Glasner, they have only kept 1 clean sheet so far and have conceded 2 goals in 4 of their 7 games and the pressure is mounting to turn results around quickly.

Feel good factor back at Forest

Forest have produced some highly impressive performances this term, most recently away at Chelsea where they battled for a 1-1 draw with ten men. Most impressive was away at Anfield where they secured a 1-0 victory, arguably the result of the season for any team in the league thus far.

Built on an organised shape and discipline, playing either a 4-2-3-1 or a 4-4-2 formation, Espirito Santo’s side have looked more like an established Premier League team so far this campaign.

Despite still looking for their 1st home win of the season, Forest have led in 2 of their 3 games at the City Ground and poor finishing of their chances created against Bournemouth and Wolves just cost them the maximum points.

Eagles struggling to take flight

It’s fair to say Palace have had a disappointing and somewhat surprising start to this season, especially given how they finished the 23/24 campaign with 7 wins and 4 draws from their last 14 fixtures.

The Eagles are still yet to take flight this term and sit down in 18th place having lost 4 of their 7 PL matches and conceded 10 goals in the process.
Defensively, head coach Glasner must look to tighten things up. Palace have shipped 2 goals on 4 separate occasions already this season and his men are still yet to keep a clean sheet on the road.

Long-term pattern to continue

Forest are unbeaten in the last 4 fixtures against The Eagles since returning to the top flight and in fact, have only lost 1 in the previous 13 games the sides have faced each other. This dates back to 2008, so although those historic stats should be taken with a big dollop of salt, I would rather be a bogey team for the opponent than be facing one.

Forest to win at 11/8 with QuinnBet

I didn’t have to scour through many markets in this game to find two solid betting opportunities. Unsurprisingly after reading the article, I’m pro-Forest here and still scratching my head as to how they are such a big price.

Unfortunately, the 6/4 that went up before the International break is gone but 11/8 at QuinnBet still has real value in my opinion. They should be no bigger than Even money according to my model and I’ve noticed several other respected football bettors putting them up too.

The Trees have all the momentum and with the crowd behind them, they should have enough to defeat a wounded and fragile Palace side who are low on confidence. I expect Forest to gain maximum points and a maiden home victory at the City Ground by the final whistle in this one.

QuinnBet sign up bonus: Get 50% Back up to £50.

Forest to score first at 10/11 with QuinnBet

The Team to Score first market also offers us a bet with Forest best priced at 10/11 with QuinnBet to strike the first goal. They’ve scored the opening goal in 6 of their 7 PL games so far and Palace conceded first in 5 of their 7 fixtures. There can be little doubt in my mind that we are on the right selection in this market at such a price.

QuinnBet sign up bonus: Get 50% Back up to £50.


Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace Best Bet

  • Market: Match Winner
  • Selection: Nottingham Forest
  • Odds: 11/8
  • Stake: 0.75pt
  • Bookie: QuinnBet

  • Market: Team To Score First
  • Selection: Nottingham Forest
  • Odds: 10/11
  • Stake: 0.75pt
  • Bookie: QuinnBet

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