Nottingham Forest v Newcastle Betting Tips: Would a point be acceptable for both sides?

Nottingham Forest host Newcastle at the City Ground on Sunday off the back of three straight PL wins which has catapulted The Reds up to 3rd in the table after the first 10 rounds of fixtures.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s team have lost just once in the PL all season and their 3 wins on the spin is their best run of form in the top flight since 1999.

Eddie Howe’s Newcastle head into the game off the back of an impressive 1-0 victory against Arsenal last weekend as the Toon Army look for a first away win since mid-September. Newcastle are currently 11th in the table but as the standings are tight and congested, Howe’s men are only 4 points behind Forest going into the clash.

Can Forest be felled?

Espirito Santo must take huge credit for Forest’s incredible turnaround from when he replaced Steve Cooper last December. The Reds finished the 2023/2024 campaign with just 32 points and have already amassed nearly 60% of their total points tally for the whole of last season, taking 19 points from a possible 30 on offer.

Newcastle, with just 1 PL away win all season and 1 point from their last 3 games on the road, will know they’ll have to be at their best to take anything from the game.

Both sides have built a solid foundation defensively so far this term- with Forest conceding the 2nd fewest number of goals with just 7 and Newcastle having the 3rd fewest goals conceded with 10 goals in their respective 10 matches.

Only Liverpool have conceded less than The Reds, with Espirito Santo’s team having conceded the joint-lowest number of goals at home with 3.

Both sides have a solid clean sheets record this season

Howe’s Newcastle have the joint 4th highest number of clean sheets in the PL and for Forest, this figure is even higher as they have had the joint 2nd highest number of shutouts this term.

The Toon Army have managed 4 clean sheets out of their last 6 games in all competitions whilst The Reds have kept 2 clean sheets out of their last 3 fixtures and in back-to-back games at The City Ground.

Sharp-shooters on show

In former Newcastle striker Chris Wood, Forest have a player in sensational form at the minute. The New Zealand international has found the net 8 times already this season and 5 times in the last 4 games.

Incidentally, Wood has scored in all but one PL home game this term and has managed to find the back of the net every time Forest have scored at The City Ground.

In a similar fashion, Newcastle have Alexander Isak who is also on a good run of form having scored in each of his last 3 games for Howe’s side, so Forest will be all too aware of the threat the Swedish international poses.

The best bet(s) of them all?

With the range of betting markets available on Premier League games, there’s a plethora of possibilities for a bet but finding value is another thing.

Given both teams’ impressive defences so far, and apart from Isak, Newcastle’s struggle for goals this term, I’m drawn into the Total Goals Over/Under market and Under 2.5 goals, best priced at 10/11 with bet365 looks tempting.

7 out of Forest’s 10 PL games have been under 2.5 goals (the most of any team) and similarly, 6 of Newcastle’s 10 matches have produced this outcome. Definitely would rather be on this side at the prices.

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Forest to score first at 21/20 with BoyleSports

Another bet I like and will back is the Team to Score First market with Forest having scored first in 9 out of their 10 games.

BoyleSports are offering the best odds on The Reds striking first again, with 21/20 the best price available. Just based on those pure numbers it’s a must bet despite the low total goals expectancy.

That low goal expectancy and little to choose between the sides leads me to think the game could finish the same way it did in the Carabao Cup back in August.

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Top pick: Draw at 5/2 with bet365

The sides drew at The City Ground and bet365 are again offering the best odds for it to end all square, 5/2 is readily available and I certainly feel Newcastle have enough quality to get a result at Forest despite the home side’s excellent form.

They have shown already this campaign they can come back from set-backs, including a recent 1-1 draw with Manchester City after trailing at half-time as well as a come-from-behind win at Wolves earlier in the season.

A draw would probably suit Newcastle slightly better before the game but on the face of it, I don’t think it would be a bad point for Espirito Santo’s team either and would continue both teams' unbeaten run of form into another match. It’s always handy when neither team would be overly disappointed if they were to take a point from the game going into it.

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Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Best Bets

• Market: Match Winner/1x2
• Selection: Draw
• Odds: 5/2
• Stake: 1pt
• Bookie: bet365

• Market: First Team To Score
• Selection: Nottingham Forest
• Odds: 21/20
• Stake: 0.5pt
• Bookie: BoyleSports

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