PDC Darts Betting Tips

Round three at Alexandra Palace saw four top-16 players exit the tournament, most notably Stephen Bunting, who was beaten by James Hurrell on Saturday night, and Nathan Aspinall, who lost a close match against Kevin Doets on Wednesday afternoon.

Luke Humphries survived a scare on Sunday against Gabriel Clemens. The German averaged 101 and hit nine 180s, topping Cool Hand Luke in both categories, but missed darts to level the match at 3-3 in sets and was made to pay.

Luke Littler made it three straight-set wins in a row as he eased past Mensur Suljovic, averaging 107 and dropping just three legs.

Michael van Gerwen v Gary Anderson is the standout tie of the last 16. Tipster Ben Smith has previewed that match along with three others, with all odds available at BetMGM, one of the leading darts betting sites for this event.

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Luke Woodhouse vs Krzysztof Ratajski - Ratajski to Win & Highest Checkout (7/4)

Luke Woodhouse has the chance to reach his first-ever World Championship quarter-final, and only the third televised quarter-final of his career, with the previous one coming at the 2024 European Championship, where he reached the semi-finals.

It is a tough assignment, though, against Krzysztof Ratajski, whose best performance of the tournament came when he needed it most against Wesley Plaisier in round three.

The Pole trailed 3-1 in that match but took full advantage of the opportunities offered by Plaisier. Across the final three sets, he posted a 50 per cent checkout rate and averaged over 97 in each set.

That performance followed a Players Championship campaign in which he beat Gian van Veen and pushed Josh Rock close. He also reached the semi-finals of the final Euro Tour event of the season, showing steady progress on the stage.

Ratajski’s numbers this season are better than Woodhouse’s, and his tournament average is also comfortably higher.

His combination finishing has also stood out. He has landed the highest checkout in all three of his matches so far, with finishes of 170 against Alexis Toylo, 135 against Ryan Joyce, and 152 against Plaisier.

Woodhouse has recorded just one ton-plus finish at the event, in his opening-round win over Boris Krcmar. Ratajski to win and hit the highest checkout looks the best bet here.

Jonny Clayton vs Andreas Harrysson - Harrysson to Win (3/1)

Jonny Clayton did not arrive at this tournament in the best form, but he has made full use of his round two bye, producing an excellent display to beat Niels Zonneveld and reach the last 16 for the fifth consecutive year.

This is often where it becomes difficult for The Ferret, though. He has made just one Alexandra Palace quarter-final, which is a clear underachievement for a player of his calibre. It has happened too often to be a coincidence, given how well he has performed at the other majors.

Clayton has also been vocal about his desire to return to the Premier League. That provides motivation, but the pressure may be a concern, something Andreas Harrysson has not appeared to feel throughout the tournament.

The Swede does not always produce his best darts, but it tends to arrive when it matters. He found that level against Ross Smith and Ricardo Pietreczko, and there’s no reason to think a similar performance isn’t on the cards here.

Clayton’s numbers over the past three months are modest. He has recorded just one ton-plus average since the start of October, and if he’s in the 90s again here then this could be close. Harrysson looks to have the bottle to take his chance if one comes along, so 3/1 appears a generous price.

Luke Humphries vs Kevin Doets - Doets Most 180s (8/5)

Kevin Doets produced one of the most eye-catching performances of round three, not necessarily in terms of overall average, but in the way he rallied from 2-1 and 3-2 down and improved as the match went on.

In set six, which he needed to win to stay in the tournament, he averaged 118 and hit three 180s. He then followed that with a 107 average in the deciding set.

His 11 maximums across 30 legs was an impressive return, though not surprising given his usual scoring rate. Doets and Luke Humphries are not far apart on that metric over the past six months, yet Cool Hand is priced as a clear favourite in that market on PDC World Darts Championship betting sites. I am happy to side with Doets at the bigger price.

Michael van Gerwen vs Gary Anderson - Over 5.5 Sets & Over 6.5 MVG 180s (17/20)

A near 50/50 contest between two former world champions makes for a very appealing fourth-round tie, especially given their recent performances.

Michael van Gerwen has averaged 99.92 across rounds two and three, while Gary Anderson has posted a 103.29 average over the same period, a figure only bettered by Luke Littler.

With very little to separate them and both scoring at a high level, it would be surprising if either player pulled clear. If the match goes to at least six sets, Van Gerwen should cover over 6.5 180s based on both his short- and long-term maximum rate.

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