Last season’s top goalscorer race was about one man - Erling Haaland. The Norwegian striker scored a record breaking 36 goals as Manchester City stormed to another title. So will Haaland repeat his exploits or will one of the league’s other star strikers take his crown?
This Premier League top scorer tips article contains our expert prediction for this season’s Golden Boot winner. We’ve looked at the favourites, plus a few outside tips that could represent excellent each way value. But before we get to our big Premier League top scorer prediction, here’s a look at some of the main contenders for the award:
Haaland to go back-to-back
Okay, we’re not sticking our necks out with this one, but unless he suffers a serious injury or spectacular loss of form, it’s hard to see Erling Haaland NOT racking up another 30 plus goals. Clearly, the bookies agree and have the Norwegian at just 4/6 to top the goalscoring charts.
The simple fact is that Haaland is playing for the best side in the League and is one of the top strikers on the planet. He will get a lot of chances and he is highly likely to take the majority of them. The odds are somewhat prohibitive, but if you want a surefire bet, Haaland is the man.
Never discount Kane
Unless he moves to Bayern Munich! That’s the big caveat for anybody looking to bet on Harry Kane for the Golden Boot. Speculation is mounting that the German champions are on the verge of completing a huge transfer coup. But let’s assume that doesn’t happen. In that case, Kane would once again be one of the leading contenders to scoop the Golden Boot for the fourth time in his career.
Kane found the net 30 times last season in a struggling Tottenham side and were it not for Haaland he would have been the division’s top scorer. Simply put, if he stays at Spurs, 13/2 will seem like excellent odds on Kane being the Premier League's top scorer.
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Salah to bounce back
As was the case for most of the Liverpool squad, Mo Salah regressed slightly last season. However, the Egyptian still managed 19 league goals and produced some sublime performances. Salah is clearly capable of incredible goalscoring feats. He has over 300 goals in under 190 games for the Reds, including an astonishing 2017/18 campaign in which he scored 44 goals in 52 outings.
Liverpool look a lot more settled in attack this season, with Cody Gakpo and Darwin Nunez joining Salah in the front three. If they can all stay clear of injuries, Liverpool should score goals for fun, and Salah could be the biggest beneficiary of that. Of the ‘non Haaland’ favourites for the Golden Boot, Salah (7/1) looks one of the best placed to have a big season.
Isak to make his mark
It was a stop start first season for Alexander Isak (28/1) at Newcastle United. Injuries stopped the Swede from having a long run in the team, but he still managed 10 goals in 22 games for the Toon. More importantly, he showed plenty of signs to suggest he will be a long term asset to a team that is moving rapidly in the right direction.
If Isak stays fit for the duration of the season, he looks capable of scoring 20 goals plus and leading Newcastle to another top four finish. Of the longer odds options for the Golden Boot, Isak is arguably the most attractive pick.
Another great season for Rashford
12 months ago, Marcus Rashford (16/1) looked to be on his way out of Old Trafford. However, the arrival of Erik ten Hag signalled a massive change in fortunes for the England striker. Under ten Hag’s guidance, Rashford found the net 17 times this season and looks set to be United’s main goal scoring threat once again. Many experts are predicting that Rashford will be deployed as a lone frontman this season, which should see him provided with plenty of goalscoring opportunities.
If you fancy a really long odds option, then Ollie Watkins (33/1) could be the man. The Aston Villa striker managed 15 goals last season, with the majority coming after Unai Emery became the club’s manager. Such was the upturn in form shown by Watkins, that he earned a call up to the England squad and now has an excellent chance of making the final cut for next year’s Euros.
Villa’s system under Emery calls for just one striker, which means Watkins will receive the bulk of the Villa chances. The Summer signing of Youri Tielemans from Leicester City should improve the supply line into Watkins, and it looks like being another profitable season for the frontman. As with Rashford, it seems highly unlikely that Watkins will top the goalscoring charts, but he does represent an interesting each way selection.
Alvarez ready to pounce
Finally, here’s a slightly leftfield option. Whilst Julian Alvarez (50/1) is undeniably one of the best strikers in the Premier League, he is not predicted to make much of an impact on the goalscoring charts. The simple fact is that Manchester City generally play with one striker, and Erling Haaland is going to be that man. So why are we including Alvarez in our Premier League top scorer tips? Well, contrary to popular belief, Haaland is actually human, and that means he could suffer an injury. Should the Norwegian miss significant game time, then Alvarez will suddenly be the main striker for the best team in the division. If that happens, 50/1 will suddenly look like the bargain price of the century!
Our verdict - Rashford looks like the best bet
If you think Manchester United are going to have a big season (and we do!), then it stands to reason that Rashford will get his name on the scoresheet plenty of times. Bruno Fernandes, Anthony and co will give him a lot of chances, so we think that a 16/1 each way (BWin) bet on Rashford is a great option and is our Premier League top scorer tip for the season.
