Sandown Solario Stakes Day Betting Tips

This weekend is a bit of a low-key Saturday for racing in the UK, but Sandown’s Solario Stakes Day still offers a few betting angles to consider.

With the Group 3 Solario Stakes and Group 3 Atalanta Stakes at Sandown, as well as the Listed Beverley Bullet and Listed Chester Stakes elsewhere, there are definitely some interesting races to keep an eye on.

In this week’s Saturday racing preview, I have four horse racing tips to consider, so let’s dive in.

BETFRED IS OFFERING THE BEST ODDS IN SOME KEY RACES ON SATURDAY

There’s plenty of action to get stuck into, and horse racing betting sites are offering varying betting prices on Saturday's horse racing. However, Betfred have some great prices on some of my selections, for example, in the Group 3 Solario Stakes, they are offering the best odds on my 8/1 fancy.

Furthermore, they have a great betting sign-up offer for new customers. If you bet £10, you’ll get £50 in free bets, which looks like great value!

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BETTING ADVICE

2:05 Beverley – First Instinct @ 9/1 with BetMGM – 1pt each-way

2:40 Chester – Alsakib @ 5/2 with Betfred – 2pt Win

3:00 Sandown – Mustazeed @ 20/1 with Betfred (4 places) – 0.5pt each-way

3:35 Sandown – Humidity @ 8/1 with Betfred – 1pt Win

STICKING TO MY FIRST INSTINCT

William Haggas has a 28% strike rate from 161 runners at Beverley, which is a pretty impressive strike rate, and I think First Instinct could add to his tally on Saturday in the Listed Beverley Bullet Stakes. Firstly, here’s a quick note on the potential pace of the race. Regional, the favourite, likes to go forward, but so do Star Of Lady M and Habooba, so the 114-rated seven-year-old won’t get an easy way of things in front. Furthermore, Ed Bethell’s current form (2/20 over the last two weeks) is slightly worrying.

While Regional, on paper, should take this, I’m happy to take him on with First Instinct. She has improved nicely this season, starting with a good third at Bath over five furlongs in April. The runner-up, Frost At Dawn, has placed in two Group 1s since, and she finished behind First Instinct when they met again at Haydock in the Group 2 Sandy Lane Stakes. That six-furlong contest saw Big Mojo (Group 1 July Cup runner-up subsequently), Ain’t Nobody (Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes third subsequently), and Arizona Blaze (Group 1 Commonwealth Cup runner-up subsequently) finish behind her, with only the Group 2 winner Arabian Dusk and Symbol Of Honour ahead of her.

Although she has shown good form at six furlongs this season, she nearly reeled in Saratoga Special over five furlongs at Ayr in June, and the same can be said about her effort at Bath over the minimum trip in April. The Beverley five-furlong sprint track is quite testing, so the conditions could really suit her, and this is a race she can win.

BALDING’S ALSAKIB LOOKS LIKE THE ONE TO BEAT

The Listed Chester Stakes is a race I like to find the winner in because it’s usually a smaller field that includes a few horses with obvious pieces of Group-level form. This year is no different, as I think Alsakib could take a bit of beating for Andrew Balding and P J McDonald.

The five-year-old has soundly handled Group-level and Listed-level races for a season-and-a-half now, as shown by his win in the Group 3 John Smith’s Silver Cup at York last year. He beat Al Qareem that day on good to soft ground, and Al Qareem has won three Listed contests and two Group 3 races since. He also finished fourth in the Group 2 Yorkshire Cup Stakes in May, and the form of that race has worked out well considering Rebel’s Romance has won a Group 2 and Group 1 since, and Sweet William has finished second in the Group 2 Lonsdale Cup Stakes to Trawlerman.

Alsakib has a decent record at Chester (one win and one third), and with some impending rain due at Chester, that could further enhance his chance, considering he’s won on good to soft and soft before.

CONDITIONS SHOULD SUIT EXPERIENCED MUSTAZEED

I think Mustazeed is a big price in the 1m2f £45,000 handicap at 3:00, so it’s worth chancing him at an each-way price. He’s just four pounds higher than his last winning mark, which occurred four starts ago at Newbury on officially heavy ground. The surface was probably riding a little bit quicker than heavy, but still, it was on the softer side, and that’s hopefully the ground he’ll get at Sandown on Saturday.

He beat Bolster (Class 2 handicap and Listed winner since), Whip Cracker, and Laafi (Class 2 handicap winner since) quite comfortably that day, so the form of the race looks good.

He’s had just two runs this season, one of which came at Haydock when he blew the cobwebs off, and the other came at Yarmouth when he finished fourth of 13 in a Racing League handicap. Daniel Muscutt, who gets back on board, gave him plenty to do last time out, but he still shaped quite nicely to finish where he did. The handicapper dropped him by one pound, which is kind, as this is just the type of handicap he can win. I think he has the ability to outrun his huge odds.

FORGIVING PUNTERS CAN CHANCE HUMIDITY

Finally, I’m having a bit of a swing in the Group 3 Solario Stakes, so please hold onto your hats. Yes, Publish has all the hype surrounding him, and it seems like every man and his dog are on. Why he is even money and not 4/5 or shorter is slightly interesting considering just how many people like him, but still, I will hesitantly take him on at the prices, as I wasn’t overly sold on his last Sandown win.

Humidity is the horse I’m happy to back, and while I would have liked eight runners so I could chance him each-way, I’ll just play in the win-only market and hope it pays off. The Ulysses colt was labelled as Andrew Balding’s best Royal Ascot chance after he won the Listed Chesham Stakes earlier this season, and while this was a small bit of after timing on the trainer’s behalf, he certainly put in a performance that warranted the confidence behind him.

His Chesham win was impressive, and the second, Thesecretadversary, has won a Listed Tipperary contest since. Venetian Lace, the third, has also run fine races in the Group 2 Superlative Stakes and Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes subsequently, and Tailgunner Joe, the sixth, won a Catterick maiden on his next start.

Yes, Humidity was disappointing at Goodwood in the Group 2 Vintage Stakes, but five of the first six home were hold-up horses who flew home late, so there’s a chance that James Doyle just went a bit too hard too soon on his mount. Because of this, I’m happy to forgive him for the run, and if he can recreate his Royal Ascot effort, he has a nice chance of beating the hot Juddmonte favourite.

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