Spain v England Betting Tips: Do or Die In the Euro 2024 Final - 14/07/2024

Spain are looking to do something only done once in Euros history since 1980 when the group stage format was introduced. That is to win the tournament maintaining a 100% win record without the need for penalty shoot-outs. Only France in 1984 who needed 5 wins from 5 back then have accomplished the feat.

Standing in their way are Gareth Southgate's men and this must be quite the game for the neutral. The talent on both teams is elite and the Spanish particularly have been easy on the eye so far this summer. Whether we see an open, attacking game though is up for serious debate.

Three Lions to be Starved of Possession

England did manage to play a more creative and exciting first half of football against the Netherlands in their semi-final but the second half fell into a similar pattern for Three Lions' games. I envisage a lot of respect to be shown from England to Spain and regardless almost of scoreline I'd bet Spain to have 60%+ possession.

Thanks to the myriad of markets on offer for such games we can take advantage of Spain's incredible ability to retain the football through the Player Passes market. So far they have favoured playing out from goal kicks and have done that predominantly down the left side.

That's left Laporte racking touches and with little pressure being applied by Harry Kane so far on any opposition centre backs, we can expect similar. I expect even La Roja to be a little more cautious given the magnitude of the game and as such predict more touches than normal to be shared among the backline and the Rodri/Ruiz double act in the centre of the park.

Making the Most of bet365's Concessions at Euro 2024

bet365 are one of the leading bookmakers in the UK for a number of reasons but their extension of selected player markets to include extra time is excellent news for bettors who target the prop markets such as the one in our best bet for the Euro 2024 final.

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Laporte’s Euro 2024 Passing Stats

The stand-out bet looks to be for the former Manchester City man to exceed 79.5 passes. He has managed the following pass totals so far during the competition;

• 85 v Italy (90mins)
• 48 v Albania (45mins)
• 113 v Georgia (90mins)
• 72 v Germany (120mins)
• 80 v France (90mins)

That gives him an average of 0.91 passes per minute, we can expect barring injury Laporte to stay on the pitch for the whole match such is his importance to the team.

If that ends up at 90 minutes then based on his average we should see 81.9 passes and a successful bet. However, we have a pretty handy ace up our sleeve. This bet will run into extra-time if it's required with bet365's latest promotion on player related markets. The returns will be delivered in bet credits but I would suggest with the concession, it makes this bet a solid value proposition. It's a worthy selection at 5/6 (1.83) going into the showpiece finale.

Spain v England Best Bet

Market: Player Passes

Selection: Aymeric Laporte Over 79.5

Odds: 5/6

Stake: 1pt

Bookie: bet365

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