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Stockport v Wrexham Betting Tips: Home side to press on at “Fortress Edgeley”

Publish Date: 15/11/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland
Key Points
  • Tricky tie in the play-off places
  • Sub-markets limited down in League One
  • Value identified in the corners markets

3rd placed Wrexham travel to 6th placed Stockport on Saturday with both sides looking to continue their impressive starts to the campaign after gaining promotion from League Two together last season.

Each team will look to take advantage of a reduced fixture list in League One due to the international break as they look to consolidate their respective positions in the play-off places. Wrexham are 4 points better off than The Hatters ahead of the game.

Wrexham can move up to 2nd in the table with a victory, whilst Stockport could go 4th if they can claim the win. Stockport are 3rd top home scorers in the league and come into this clash with

The Red Dragons after thrashing neighbours Bolton 5-0 at Edgeley Park in their last League One fixture.
Phil Parkinson and Wrexham head into the game just 2 points behind Birmingham in the automatic promotion places and have the joint-best defence in League One, conceding just 10 goals.

Edgeley Park awash with goals

Dave Challinor’s Stockport have been the entertainers at home this term, with a total of 26 goals scored at County’s home ground. This is the 3rd highest in the league with only Peterborough and Crawley seeing more goals across their home fixtures.

They’ve managed to maintain a solid defence at home too. County have kept clean sheets in half of their games at Edgeley Park and face a Wrexham side who have failed to score in 3 of their 7 games away from The Racecourse Ground.

The Red Dragons have the joint-best defence in the league this term, shipping only 6 goals on the road from their 7 games, yet at the other end have only scored 6 goals, the joint 4th lowest number. “Both teams to score: no” is springing to mind after checking the stats and as I write this piece…

edgeley-park

Barry is banging them in!

When it comes to the main goal threat for Stockport, on-loan Aston Villa forward Louie Barrie fills this role for Challinor’s men. Barrie has bagged 10 League One goals already in 14 appearances, with 6 of these coming in front of the home faithful.

The attacker has scored 5 times in the last 6 matches and has 4 in the last 5 home games for The Hatters. He is also County’s penalty taker and has scored 3 times from the spot so far this term.

Barry is a best-priced 11/2 shot with bet365 to open the scoring and the same price to close it. He’s 9/4 to score anytime with BoyleSports, neither of which I would totally put you off but won’t be our advised selection.

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Entertainment on the agenda

Expect plenty of shots in this one as both sides operate a shoot-on-sight policy. Parkinson’s visitors have had over 10.5 shots in 56% of their matches, the joint highest along with Blackpool.

As for County, they are 3rd on this list, with 53% of their games so far seeing them having more than 10 shots at goal. Unfortunately at this level of competition, there aren’t shot markets offered by the bookmakers, so we can’t find a potential opportunity there. It should make for entertaining fare though if in attendance.

A Stockport win too close to call

In terms of a winner, this one does look a close game to call, with Stockport being slight favourites with the bookies to pick up maximum points come full-time. They are best priced at 6/5 with Ladbrokes and have been shortening throughout the week.

Challinor’s side are more than capable of putting teams to the sword, particularly at home, with big wins against Reading by 4-1 and most recently Bolton by 5-0 attesting to this.

However, with Wrexham only losing 2 games all season and having the joint-best defence in the league, with 4 clean sheets from 7 matches on the road, they are obviously a tough team to crack. I’m therefore avoiding betting a Stockport win at the prices.

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Corner handicap: Stockport -1 at 6/5 with BoyleSports

Instead, my focus for this clash at the top end of League One is on the team to have the most corners.

Even though I feel it is a very tight game to call, as the home side, I still see Stockport pressing more for the win and trying to make the most of their home advantage. Meanwhile, Wrexham would see a point as a positive result on the road.

In 6 of The Hatters’ 8 games so far at Edgeley Park, they have had more corners than the opposition and this is a trend I see continuing against Parkinson’s outfit.

Couple those numbers with Wrexham having fewer corners than their opponents in 4 of their 7 fixtures away from home. I think the 8/11 for Stockport to win the corner count is value but for those wanting a slightly bigger price, the same theory applies to the -1 Corner Handicap at 6/5 with BoyleSports.

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Stockport vs Wrexham Best Bet

  • Market: Corner Handicap
  • Selection: Stockport -1
  • Odds: 6/5
  • Stake: 0.5pt
  • Bookie: BoyleSports

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