Wimbledon Tips

The last time we saw Jannik Sinner on court, he suffered one of the most shocking defeats of his career. Heat-induced cramps contributed to a remarkable collapse at Roland Garros, where the men's world number one squandered a two-set lead and a double break advantage against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

With no competitive grass-court matches under his belt since, Sinner's next appearance comes as he begins the defence of his Wimbledon title against Miomir Kecmanovic on Centre Court.

The women's world number one also endured a devastating end to Roland Garros, although Aryna Sabalenka's collapse against Diana Shnaider owed more to difficult, windy conditions than any physical issue. After letting a winning position slip, she was bagelled in the deciding set.

Still, even though Sabalenka has never reached a Wimbledon final, she heads to SW19 as the tournament favourite on tennis betting sites.

Tennis tipster Ben Smith has scoured the BetMGM odds and picked out two selections from the men's draw and two from the women's as play gets underway at the All England Club on Monday.

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Men’s Singles: Jannik Sinner to Win Q1 & Novak Djokovic to Win Q2 (6/4 Double)

The UK heatwave is expected to have eased by the time Wimbledon gets underway, with temperatures forecast to remain in the mid-20s throughout the fortnight. If someone is going to stop Sinner, they're likely going to have to do it against a fully fit version of the four-time Grand Slam champion.

It's difficult to see him being seriously troubled in the first three rounds. Rafael Jodar could provide his first meaningful test in the last 16, but the Spaniard is inexperienced on grass and has also been managing an abdominal injury.

The quarter-finals are where things are likely to become more demanding, with Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul among the possible opponents. Even then, though, a fully fit Sinner should have enough over five sets.

All roads may well lead to a semi-final against Novak Djokovic, who I think has a very winnable quarter despite the presence of Joao Fonseca, the man who knocked him out at Roland Garros.

It's one thing to outlast the 39-year-old over five hours on clay while playing the match of your life. It's another asking the Brazilian to repeat that at the All England Club on a surface where he owns a losing record.

A quarter-final against Felix Auger-Aliassime would not hold too many fears for Djokovic in the grand scheme of things either. The Canadian has won just one match at Wimbledon since reaching the quarter-finals in 2021.

The early exits at Roland Garros may ultimately work in favour of both Sinner and Djokovic, and I make them value to renew their rivalry in what could be another blockbuster semi-final, a rematch of their classic Australian Open encounter.

Men’s Singles: Alex De Minaur to Win (80/1)

With Sinner and Djokovic occupying the top half, the bottom section looks far more open, even with newly crowned Grand Slam champion Alexander Zverev leading the way.

The German has landed in a difficult quarter. Taylor Fritz has beaten him in each of their last seven meetings, while Jack Draper, Frances Tiafoe, Alexander Bublik, Francisco Cerundolo and Jiri Lehecka all possess the sort of grass-court pedigree capable of causing problems.

Meanwhile, the third quarter appears slightly softer and that’s where we’ll take a swing. Ben Shelton heads the market, but I much prefer Alex de Minaur at the bigger price. The Australian has a kind route through the early rounds before a potential meeting with Shelton, already owns two ATP Tour titles on grass, and he has the stronger underlying numbers on the surface.

Women’s Singles: Belinda Bencic to Win (Each-way 75/1)

Belinda Bencic has long looked like someone who should enjoy success on grass. Her first title on the surface came a decade ago, yet last year's run to the Wimbledon semi-finals remains comfortably her best result at SW19.

The Swiss is suited to these conditions. She takes time away from opponents by striking the ball early and keeping it low through the court, making her awkward to face on grass.

The draw has also caught my eye. Coco Gauff heads this section but she's not someone I'm desperate to side with on this surface, while Jessica Pegula is the other obvious contender. If Bencic were to meet Pegula in the last eight, I'd expect that match to be priced far more closely than the outright market currently implies.

Missing Queen's through injury is the obvious downside, but that uncertainty has helped push her price out. With a very winnable opener, I'm happy to take the chance now.

Women’s Singles: Ekaterina Alexandrova to Win (Each-way 150/1)

It's been a miserable season by Ekaterina Alexandrova’s standards, but the market has reacted as though she's finished at the top level. That feels like an overreaction.

Her recent form has been relatively encouraging. She pushed Aryna Sabalenka hard, followed that with a good win over Ann Li and then produced her best result of the lot by beating Mirra Andreeva.

Grass has always been one of her better surfaces, too. She reached the fourth round on each of her last two Wimbledon appearances and lifted grass-court titles in both 2022 and 2023.

This is also a player who was inside the world's top 10 as recently as last year. At these odds, she's well worth a small interest.

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