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Ginger Joe - Tips for the Dubai Desert Classic and the American Express

Publish Date: 16/01/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland
Key Points
  • A good week last week, with places in both events
  • Betting tips for the Dubai Desert Classic on the DPWT
  • My best bet for the American Express on the PGA Tour

PGA & DP World Tour events for this week

Welcome back golfing fans. We had a successful result last week, with both JT Poston and Jordan Smith placing for us, which adds to the strong start we have made this year already.

I’ll be looking at two events again this week – the Dubai Desert Classic on the DPWT and the American Express on the PGA Tour.

The DP World Tour remains in Dubai this week, so that means another early start on Thursday morning, but it’s worth setting your alarms, as this will be another cracking event. Meanwhile, over on the PGA Tour, we have a low-scoring event that’s played across three different courses and it’s a really tricky event to figure out. That being said, I do have a selection in mind and I think we can have another profitable week.

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DP World Tour - Dubai Desert Classic

The Dubai Desert Classic is going to be a fantastic event taking place at the Emirates Golf Club. This beautifully-designed course is a 7,428-yard par 72 and the winner usually comes from one of the better ball strikers.

Rory McIlroy won this last year and in 2022, Viktor Hovland won it, beating Richard Band in a playoff. Richard Bland is actually a fine example of the fact that you don’t require length to win this event, as he literally putted himself into contention, proving that power isn’t a necessity this week.

What is needed though is player that attacks from start to finish and keeps the ball in play, which is where my primary selection fits right in here.

Tyrell Hatton @ 10/1 Win

My best betting tip for this week’s DP World Tour is Tyrell Hatton, who is definitely capable of winning an event like this. In the last year or so, he has progressed steadily and even though he is a bit of a hot head, he definitely has the game to compete with the best players in the world. I actually believe that Tyrell has it in him to win a major at some point in his career too; it's just a matter of it all coming together at the same time.

Even though he does get stressed out in certain situations, he seems to have learned the art of using that negative energy to up his game, which is one of the reasons he does consistently well. So have no fear if Tyrell drops a shot, because he will get it back soon enough.

There won't be many players, if any, who will go bogey free round this course, it’s much more a question of playing the long game here at the Emirates. Rory is going to be very hard to knock off his perch, but I think Tyrell has the tools to beat him and I feel this could be his week.

Francesco Molinari @ 80/1 EW (8 places)

Francesco Molinari is a very interesting contender this week and I think he could go a little under the radar here. Last week, in the Dubai Invitational, he really impressed me and I think he could be starting to find some of the old form that saw him win the 2018 Open Championship.

I mentioned you need a proper ball striker round this course and Francesco Molinari was just awesome with his irons one stage in his career and if he comes back to anywhere near that form then his 80/1 price tag is huge.

At one point, he would have been one of the top three in the market here and I saw some glimpses of the player he used to be in his game last week. I can easily see him picking up one of these events and he has the prime opportunity to do that this week and at a massive price too.

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PGA Tour - The American Express

The American Express is a deeply competitive field and the event is also played over three different courses too. The Pete Dye Stadium Course, La Quinta Country Club and the Niklaus Tournament Course and all three are very different. All three are Par72s but the Stadium Course is by far the superior track and I would prefer all four days to take place on this course.

They rotate between the three courses over the first three days and then finish on the Stadium Course on the Sunday. Now I’m not a fan of multi-course tournaments it doesn’t really fit my strategy of finding my selections but I do think I have a player that will suit all the courses very well indeed so we'll take our chance anyway. The La Quinta and Niklaus courses are very straight forward so you would want to see your players take advantage on these two tracks and if they can post 4 under on the Stadium Course both rounds, I’d say you’d be happy with that.

Cam Davis @ 50/1 EW (10 places)

I genuinely think that the best bet for this multi-course tournament is Cam Davis, who is also somewhat overpriced at 50/1. He is currently the world number 46 and he has shown vast improvement over the last six months or so.

He is plenty long off the tee, and with these courses being very scorable, you need to have a good wedge player on side, and Cam Davis fits the bill very nicely indeed. Distance control with a wedge gives a players plenty of birdie chances, which is just what is needed here. Don’t overlook Cam Davis this week at a huge price and with 10 places available.

DPWT and PGA Tour betting tips

DPWT

  • Tyrell Hatton @ 10/1
  • Francesco Molinari @ 80/1 EW

PGA Tour

  • Cam Davis @ 50/1 EW

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