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Out of all the fixtures in the PL this upcoming weekend, this clash looks like it could be the most entertaining.
Ange Postecoglou’s Spurs are aiming to make it 7 wins in a row in all competitions at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium when they take on Ipswich this Sunday afternoon. Spurs are top scorers in the PL with 22 goals and are joint top scorers at home along with Brentford.
Postecoglou’s men are currently 7th in the PL table but are just 2 points off the elusive Champions League places.
For Kieran McKenna and Ipswich, it has been a tough transition to the top flight. The Tractor Boys are still winless after the opening 10 games and they’ve had their fair share of harsh lessons on their return back to the PL after a 22 year absence.
Ipswich sit 3rd bottom and 2 points behind Crystal Palace and the safety line. McKenna’s side have the 2nd worst defence in the league, having conceded 21 goals, and the joint-worst defence away from home along with fellow strugglers Wolves.
Spurs have only failed to score twice so far this season and only once in front of their own fans. In my opinion, this is primarily due to the style of attacking football implemented by Postecoglou since he’s been at the helm.
Tottenham have had the 2nd highest number of shots per game after Manchester City and in 80% of their games, they have had over 10.5 shots at goal, an indicator of the front-foot football Postecoglou likes to play.
With 15 goals scored in their 5 PL matches on home soil and 21 in home matches across all competitions, free-scoring Spurs usually have the fans celebrating a few goals per game. It’s fair to assume against an Ipswich side that has only kept 1 clean sheet all season, there will be an all-out assault on the visiting side’s goal.
Despite encouraging performances and taking the lead in several matches this term, McKenna’s team just haven’t been able to claim that maiden victory yet and have had a tough learning curve in how ruthless and unforgiving the league can be.
The Tractor Boys have conceded late goals in each of their last 2 games, at home against Leicester and away to Brentford and their failure to hold onto a lead is what has cost them gaining extra points in recent weeks.
Their only clean sheet came in a 0-0 draw at Brighton back in September, and having conceded 4 goals in a match on 3 separate away games, it looks highly unlikely they will be able to stop Spurs from keeping the goals flowing here.
That said, they have scored in 4 of their 5 matches on the road so are more than capable of causing Tottenham some problems of their own.
Given Tottenham’s sensational form at home in recent weeks, it looks extremely difficult to argue against another victory here for Spurs against an Ipswich side that have taken just 2 points from 15 on offer away from Portman Road.
McKenna’s men have the 3rd worst away record so far this term and have already shipped 13 goals on their travels, including 8 in their last 2 matches away at Brentford and West Ham respectively.
I feel the form of players like Dominic Solanke, the return of Son Heung-Min and the creativity of Brennan Johnson and Dejan Kulusevski in a new midfield role will be far too much for an Ipswich side still adjusting to the level.
One price that stood out a little but flies in the face of most of what I’ve written about Spurs dominating was found in the Team to Score First market. Surprisingly Tottenham have conceded first in 5 of their 10 PL games this term and in 4 of their 5 matches at home.
What is perhaps even more surprising is The Tractor Boys have scored the opening goal in half of their matches. With bet365 offering the best price of 3/1 on McKenna’s team repeating what they did in previous away games at Brentford and Manchester City, it is tempting, and on pure numbers it looks like value. However, it’s one of those bets that would have us watching from behind the couch.
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Could a better bet be in the To Win From Behind market with Tottenham best priced at 6/1 with bet365 to turn the game around should they fall behind? The fact that 3 of their 4 home wins have come after they have conceded first makes me think it could well happen again and at the price offered, this is a bet worth taking.
Another market that might seem a bit more obvious is Both Teams to Score with 888Sport offering the best price of 4/6 on each team finding the net.
I believe there is a strong possibility of this happening, with 3 of Spurs’ 5 home games producing this and when Ipswich are on the road this stat is even higher with 4 of their 5 games ending with this outcome.
I wouldn’t put anyone off a single bet on that but am choosing to boost the odds a little and combine both teams to score with Tottenham to win the match at 7/5 in a BetBuilder at bet365.
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The form book points towards a Spurs win with plenty of goals to boot. Moreover, given that Postecoglou’s side have banged in a goals-per-game ratio at home in the PL of 3, I don’t see this trend changing when The Tractor Boys head to north London.
Despite their European exploits on Thursday night away at Galatasaray and the travel back from Turkey, I still don’t see this playing a massive factor. Good squad rotation is sure to take place and I’m left expecting another high-scoring home victory for Spurs come full-time.
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