Horses involved? Jamie’s your expert.
Horses involved? Jamie’s your expert.
Six and half years after their bout at UFC 178, Dustin Poirer and Conor McGregor are set to face off again on Fight Island in Abu Dhabi on the 23rd of this month. Poirier hasn’t half been patient in his wait for a shot at revenge, but what do the bookies make of his chances? We’ve taken at a look at the UFC 257 odds below.
Poirier is eyeing up some long-awaited redemption, however McGregor could well just be looking at this match as a warm-up to get himself back in the game. It’s been almost a year since the ‘Notorious’ Irishman beat the veteran Cerrone by TKO in Las Vegas, but the always confident McGregor claims he’s sharper than ever – and he has had a few weeks to shed the Christmas weight to be fair!
It might not be up for grabs on this occasion, but both Poirer and McGregor will have their sights on a future shot at the lightweight title, which now lies vacant thanks to Khabib Nurmagomedov’s shock retirement. Although no strap is on the line in this fight, the winner could very well find himself with the shot at the title next time out. That being said, McGregor could get sidetracked by a big-money boxing exhibition with Manny Pacquiao.
If we take a look at the outright UFC 257 odds for starters, you won’t be surprised to see McGregor backed heavily has the bookies favourite amongst those offering Poirier vs McGregor 2 odds, with Bet365 offering odds of 1.36 on the Irishman beating his opponent by any means. If you fancy sticking your neck out and backing Poirier to pull of an upset, you’ll get odds of 3.25 on the American. As with all bets you’ll always want to make sure you go with the bookies with the best odds before you take a leap of faith. With McGregor’s outright odds pointless to back and Poirier’s odds not quite great enough for a small punt on the outsider, let’s take a look at the odds on more specific outcomes.
In the build up, Poirier has stated that he’s happy to fight McGregor standing on his feet, which would be an extremely risky approach, given that doing just that back in 2014 didn’t turn out too well for the American. As all four of McGregor’s recorded defeats have come via submission, the smart thing to do would be for Poirier to get the Irishman on the canvas – while both men are on their feet, the likelihood of a KO/TKO from McGregor is always going to be likely. That’s why a Poirier victory by KO, TKO, DQ or submission is priced at odds of 5.
Poirier won his last fight against by decision after going the distance against Dan Hooker, a victory that helped him bounce back from his loss to Khabib. Out of the 33 fights in his career, Poirier has won 7 of them by going the distance and being announced the decision winner. However, given that his opponent later this month likes to get his fights over and done with quickly, a decision win for Poirier is priced at 6.5.
McGregor’s only fight in 2020, which came almost a year ago, lasted just 40 seconds, with him defeating Donald Cerrone by TKO in Las Vegas. This is the signature style that has made the ‘Notorious’ Irishman the cult figure he is today – short and sweet fights act as the precursors to lengthy after parties. A year on from his last fight, McGregor could be a little out of practice, but his opponent also only fought once in 2020. Given that 19 of McGregor’s 22 victories have come via KO/TKO, it’s hardly surprising that the UFC 257 Conor McGregor lean towards a similar outcome at odds of 1.57.
McGregor has gone the distance just twice in a career that spans 26 fights. There’s a reason that the Irishman tends to do everything in his power to end his flights quickly, since stamina most definitely isn’t his strong point. Given that he’s been out of the game almost a year, McGregor certainly won’t want this fight going the distance. McGregor has summoned his “Mystic Mac” powers once again ahead of this fight and has predicted a first round stoppage, and the bookies seem to agree with him pricing a UFC 257 Conor McGregor win by decision or technical decision at odds of 7.
No surprises here, but us, the bookies and the Irishman himself all agree on that a win for the ‘Notorious’ is almost certainly on the cards. At odds of 1.57 it’s a punt that’s hardly worthwhile. Therefore the most attractive bet is to take Mystic Mac’s own word for it, and back a McGregor win by KO/TKO in Round 1 at 3.25 leads the way amongst the best value Poirier vs McGregor 2 odds available.