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It’s a really competitive card at Worcester on Wednesday and I have three winning picks for you. One of my selections has won for us previously, a nice mare who I think can break her Chase maiden here.
I’ve also found a potential plot job in the final race on the card and you’ll need to be on this one quick sharp before the price drops, which was what happened last time before it was made a late non-runner.
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In the opener at Worcester there are a few in with chances at decent prices. Ahead Of The Field for Emma Lavelle returned to form last time out, but it was in a pretty weak race and he is quite hard to trust based on previous evidence. That said, he may be starting to turn a corner which could put him in the mix here.
Dindin for David Pipe won over course and distance last time out and the extended trip seemed to suit him quite nicely, but whether or not he can back up that last performance is the question, as he has shown himself to be an awkward ride previously. So, I think the answer to this Handicap puzzle could well turn out to be the Charlie Longsdon runner, Present Storm.
She was well supported and travelling well before being pulled up last time out at Uttoxeter, a performance Charlie Longsdon excused by saying that the ground rode softer than the official going. Although that seemed rather unusual, her penultimate start here at Worcester, where she placed third, appears to back that up. Brian Hughes on board isn’t necessarily a positive in my opinion, but if he just leaves her alone to run her race, then she will be seen at her best.
She has been difficult to win with, but given that both of her wins over Hurdles and her place over fences came here, she definitely seems to have a preference for this track. So, I’m willing to give her a chance here. With conditions likely to be right in her favour, I think she has a good chance here of gaining her first win over fences.
The second race at Worcester is one I find very interesting indeed. The last time Mole Court ran, I put him up as my NAP and he won in really good fashion, but that means he has an 8lb rise to deal with this time around. I don’t think that is going to be enough to stop him going out and winning again, but I think have spotted one in here that poses a threat to his chances.
Sheila Lewis is running three today at Worcester and one of those is Tom O’Roughley, who is dropping back in trip to contest here and is particularly well-Handicapped too. He has been campaigned consistently over three miles and was going really well for a long way last time out here at Worcester and he shouldn’t be inconvenienced by the shorter trip.
However, Mole Court is on a real upward curve for the Ben Pauling team and I’m sticking with him. He was strong through the line when he ran over course and distance two weeks ago and I’m hoping he can find that same turn of foot at the end of this race. Luca Morgan takes the ride this time and I am a huge fan of Luca, who I think is a very underrated rider.
Mole Court ticks a lot of boxes here and I would have put him up as my NAP selection if it wasn’t for the obvious danger of Tom O’Roughley, who could excel himself here off a lower weight. That said, I firmly believe that Mole Court is the one to go with here, as there could still be more improvement to come from him, despite the 8lb rise
A bit of context here first. Hillsin was entered at Newton Abbott on 27 June and he was gambled heavily from 10/1 into 7/2, only to be pulled out a couple of hours before the race. And now, he has come up in my tracker again.
I think he could be worth siding with as soon as the prices become available, based on the evidence from the market last time. On his penultimate start at Exeter he ran a really good race to finish third over two miles, where he was doing some really good late work, giving us the impression that he would do better for a step up in trip.
He then ran here at Worcester and hold up tactics were used, suggesting they were going to make a move late on, but unfortunately, he made a really bad mistake at the first hurdle and he was never really tried after that.
This time out he drops in Grade and I imagine they will play this one in a similar way, holding him up until the final stages of the race and then moving him up through the field. The evidence is there to suggest he is a better horse than we have seen previously and he runs for very shrewd connections here. Don’t be surprised to see him in the winner’s enclosure.
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