Key Points
- More hot action from the July Meeting at Newmarket
- Four selections for an each way Lucky 15
-
Winning picks for the weekend coming soon
A hot Friday at Newmarket
The action is hotting up at Newmarket and for Friday I have an each way Lucky 15 for you to have a look at. I have selected some really interesting contenders for you and I can’t wait to see how their races play out.
The Friday racing at Newmarket is very competitive and there were perhaps two or three in each race that showed up on my radar, but I have managed to narrow it down to my best four.
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13:50 Newmarket – Bet 365 Heritage Handicap 1m 2f
Seendid @ 15/2
The opening race for Day 2 is a very high- class Handicap. The current favourite is Tagabawa for Charlie Appleby and William Buick, who sets a decent standard but his price tag doesn’t totally make sense to me. He ran well at Royal Ascot, but didn’t look like a massive improver, so I would question the wisdom of backing him, despite the fact that William Buick chose him over Local Destiny.
Speaking of which, I actually think Local Destiny has a really good chance here, but he has to give weight all round, which may scupper his chances when it comes to actually winning the race. Westerton for Alan King and Ryan Moore is a very likeable type, who I put up last time out at Sandown, but his Handicap mark has gone through the roof, which may well prove to be a shade too far here. So, I’m going to take a chance on
Seendid
for Haggas and Marquand. Both having already aired their views on this colt, following his latest win over course and distance in June.
Another interesting thing to note here, is that Tom Marquand has to get down to his lowest weight ever to take the ride here. Although that has nothing to do with the form of the horse, I still think it’s relevant. Based on ability,
Seendid is more than capable of improving way past his low Handicap mark and I think that gives him the edge
in this race. The market leaders here are all smart enough, but I’m convinced this colt can improve to their level.
15:00 Newmarket – Bet 365 Trophy Handicap 1m 6f
Aimeric @ 9/2 (NAP)
The Bet 365 Trophy Handicap is an interesting puzzle to try and solve and there are some solid options in this field. Kihavah and Torcello both have a Jumps background predominantly, but both have also enjoyed a really good spell on the Flat, with the former trying to make it four wins on the spin here.
Even though Kihavah has gone up in the weights, I think he would have a really good chance. However, with Jamie Spencer on board it looks like they may use hold up tactics here, in an effort to make a late bid for the finishing line and I’m not totally convinced that’s going to work with his hike in the weights.
Torcello nearly made all to win at Newmarket last time out, but was chinned late on the line by HMS President. Even though a repeat effort would see him go close, tactics need to be pretty much perfect for him to get his head in front this time out. So, the one I’m going to side with here is
Aimeric
for Roger Varian.
I actually fancied this one at Royal Ascot, but he was kept short of room which ruined his chances of winning. That said, once he got clear, he certainly showed plenty, but it was far too late.
That made him a real eyecatcher and he is clearly ahead of his Handicap mark. Based on that, he could be well in here and will surely get a better run of things this time round.
16:45 Newmarket - Boodles Handicap 7f
Harry Magnus @ 13/2
The Boodles Handicap is another tricky Handicap and the current favourite is the Willie Haggas-trained filly, Razeyna. Even though she has potential, her price tag may be reflective of her profile on paper rather than her actual performance. Maxi Boy at 12/1 has a decent each way chance for Amo Racing, but the one I’m siding with here is
Harry Magnus.
I think he will return to form here, with conditions looking perfect and was unlucky last time out having got out of the stalls a bit slow. He was really well-fancied that day and having Ryan Moore on board sparked plenty of enthusiasm. William Buick takes the ride this time, which is certainly no hindrance to his chances.
He is right down at the bottom end of the weights here and has every chance of putting things right after his slow start last time out. You could look at it in the sense that if he got out on level terms, he would have finished right up there. His Handicap mark may have taken a hit,
but he remains pretty well Handicapped with the potential he has already shown
and there’s plenty of value in his double-figure price tag.
17:20 Newmarket - The Sartorial Sprint Handicap 5f
Good Earth @ 9/1
There are a few very tightly-matched runners in the Sprint Handicap, which is the final race on the Newmarket card, but I think I’ve found us a good one. Isle Of Lismore would be in with a good shout if there was a bit more cut in the ground, but on this faster surface he is likely to find one or two too good.
Conquistador was one I really fancied at Royal Ascot. He came out of the stalls a bit slow which definitely didn’t help his chances, but he still managed to finish third and commands respect in this sphere. A 5lb rise may be enough to stop Russet Gold for Roger Varian, so I think
Good Earth
is the one to be on.
He is a really honest type and has excuses for his poor effort last time. If he can return to the form of his Beverley win in the middle of last month, he would have a big chance at these weights. He can be a little unpredictable, but
I think he is really well suited to this track and that may well just bring out the best in him
once more. He’s also pretty tough, so he won’t mind a late race tussle and at his best I can see him making an impact here at a decent price.
Good luck with your bets!
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Social gossip
On Saturday we again have another really good day of racing, but I am actually more interested in Sunday’s action where we have two Jumps meetings coming from Stratford and Perth. Make sure that you keep tabs on my YouTube channel if you want some Sunday selections. Do hit the Subscribe button for me, not only does that help me out a lot, it also means you’ll be notified when my selections go live.
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