The Fund
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Gary O’Neill’s Wolves take on The Blues on Sunday afternoon in their first match at Molineux this season. Both Wolves and Chelsea lost their opening games 2-0, to Arsenal and Manchester City respectively.
They will both be keen to get points on the board when they clash in the West Midlands and might also expect to. There is more pressure on new Chelsea boss Enzo Maresca, who will know the importance of getting his first league victory as Chelsea boss. It’s imperative that he stamps his authority at a club that has been through 8 managerial appointments in the last 8 years.
O’Neill led Wolves to an impressive 14th-placed finish last season despite them being one of the favourites for relegation. This was made an even greater achievement given that he was only installed as manager a few days before the 23/24 season started.
Wolves achieved 8 wins and 3 draws from their 19 PL home matches last season, including victories against Manchester City, Tottenham, and Sunday’s opponents Chelsea last term. I feel there’s a strong case they could cause The Blues problems again this time around.
Wolves scored in 16 of their 19 matches at home and this attacking style of football O’Neill has instilled in his side looks set to carry on into this season.
Chelsea managed just 7 wins from their 19 matches on the road, and just 4 victories in their last 14 games away from Stamford Bridge. They looked open against City and it doesn’t appear the manager knows his best 11 yet as players continue to arrive and depart.
There still seems to be a sense of instability surrounding Chelsea and the lack of continuity with their managers, as well as chaos around their extremely high transfer signings in recent years. I feel this has filtered its way down to the players on the pitch, with almost too many high-profile names trying to fit into the starting 11 which has caused a divide in the squad.
The most recent arrival Joao Felix, for example, is a good lively player but where does he fit into the plans?
On the other hand, O’Neill and his backroom staff have signed new contract extensions over the summer, tying them to the club to 2028, and have been trusted by the board to continue the good work from last season. This continuity is a stark contrast to how their opponents run their club from board level.
Despite losing central defender Max Kilman to West Ham and Pedro Neto to Chelsea, Wolves have recruited smartly signing Portuguese winger Rodrigo Gomes from Braga and Norwegian forward Jorgen Strand Larsen from Celta Vigo. Overall, they look set for another solid season with O’Neill at the helm.
I have a model that spits out prices and I do my own tissue on more of a gut instinct and experience level. If a price is deemed value on both then I’ll take it.
Basically, here I had Chelsea much, much bigger than they currently are in the win market.
I make the fact most of their likely starters played Thursday in the Europa Conference League an additional negative for The Blues.
They are best odds of 3/4 with StarSports which makes no appeal. We’ll take the opposite side and bet they don’t win through the Double Chance market. 21/20 at Betfred is perfectly fine for a wager against the basket cases.
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