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Non League - Best Bets and Predictions - Saturday 5th October 2024

Publish Date: 04/10/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland

It is a reduced Non-League schedule due to FA Trophy qualifying round, but we still have fixtures from the National League, National League South and National League North and some best bets.

AFC Fylde vs Aldershot

Looking at each team's respective goal records, this match, on the face of it, suggests plenty of goals. AFC Fylde have scored 13 and conceded 24 goals in 12 games, with their matches averaging just over three goals. Aldershot have scored and conceded 17 goals apiece, with their matches seeing an average of 2.83 goals.

However, with the Coasters embarking on a new era and Aldershot in a bit of a rut, this presents some value in the ‘under’ market.

Bet365 have set the Asian Line at 3.0, meaning if there are more than three goals, this bet is a loser, if there are fewer than three goals, the bet is a winner, and if it ends on exactly three goals, we get a refund.

Best Bet: Under 3.0 goal line @1.900

Halifax vs Tamworth

FC Halifax host Tamworth at the Shay in what should be a close and edgy encounter.

Halifax currently occupy 11th place, sitting four points outside the playoffs. Chris Millington's side had a strong end to last season to finish in the playoffs before losing to defeated finalists Solihull Moor in the Quarter-Finals.

This season, The Shaymen have won four games, drawn five and lost three, failing to win in their last three games in all competitions. Millington prides himself on defensive stability, with his side conceding just 50 goals last season - the second-fewest in the National League.

It is a familiar tale this campaign, with the ten goals conceded as one of the fewest in the league. However, Halifax havae also been feeble in attack, only scoring 12 goals. 9/12 of their games have seen under 2.5 goals, the joint most in the league.

Tamworth defied expectations by winning the National League North over Scunthorpe, making it back-to-back promotions for The Lambs. Like Chris Millington, Andy Peak's side are defensively strong and hard to beat. On the way to the unprecedented title win, Tamworth conceded just 29 goals.

4/6 Tamworth away games, and 6/11 games have seen under 2.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals looks good value in what should be a cagey game between two feeble attacks.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals @1.72

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Chelmsford vs Eastbourne Borough

After finishing second in the National League South last season, Chelmsford will be disappointed with their sluggish start to this season's campaign.

The 2-3 loss to Braintree in the Semi-Finals, coupled with the departure of a couple of key players, has seen Chelsmford start slowly, although there are signs that Robbie Simpson's side are getting back to their best after three league wins in a row- their only three wins of the season.

This run has seen them climb up to thirteenth place, 11 places and six points behind Saturday's visitors.

Eastbourne Borough had a poor season and struggled to adapt to their first instalment of professional football. However, Adam Murray was appointed during the season, and he steered the Sport clear of relegation.

An ambitious summer shopping spree has put Boro amongst the favourites for promotion before the season, and their early season form certainly suggested that this is the case.

Murray's side have lost just one game this season - a 2-0 away defeat to Farnborough. They've taken some scalps along the way, including beating a strong Truro side 0-1 away from home. Eastbourne being a professional team gives them a significant advantage over others in the league, as they are fitter and more tactically prepared.

Boro has the best defensive record in the league, conceding just seven goals. The addition of vastly experienced Shaun Williams only strengthens Eastbourne defensively. Add that to the goals of George Alexander and Alfie Pavey, Eastbourne Borough are a hard team to beat.

Best Bet: Eastbourne Borough +0.5 Asian Handicap @1.950

Worthing vs Maidstone

Two of the most entertaining sides in the league face off at Woodside Road, with Worthing hosting Maidstone.

Worthing have had to play eight of their nine league games away from home as building work continues on a new stand to increase the capacity with thoughts of eventual promotion to the EFL.

Despite these limitations, The Rebels have started this season well and sit 12th with a game in hand. Chris Agutter has continued the Adam Hinshelwood blueprint on the side, as his side have already scored 13 goals.

Worthing's attack is the envy of many in the league, with Danny Cashman, Tommy Willard, Jack Spong and Mo Faal a supremely strong quartet for this level.

Maidstone made headlines for their historic FA Cup run last season, defeating now Premier League side Ipswich away from home. They also made the Playoff Semi-Finals, losing to Saturday's hosts 2-1.

After winning their opening game of the season at St Albans, Maidstone have struggled, failing to win any of their next six games. A 1-4 win at Enfield Town stopped the rut before a 2-2 draw at home to Chesham showed the Stones' vulnerability.

It is the first game where the new stand at Woodside Road is open, so a boisterous crowd is expected.

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