Games are coming thick and fast in Non-League and Matthew O'Regan is here with his best bets and predictions across Step 1 and Two.
Lipsiuc has been in quietly impressive form in front of goal, finding the net five times across his last nine appearances. Recently, he’s been pushed into a more advanced role, operating closer to the opposition box and getting into better scoring positions as a result. That tactical shift has clearly suited him, and with confidence high, he looks well placed to add to his tally.
Prediction: Darius Lipsiuc to Score @7.50
Luke McCormick comes into this in excellent scoring form, with two goals in his last three matches and five across his last seven. He’s been deployed in a very advanced position and is central to almost everything Yeovil do in attack. Across the season he’s averaging a goal every three games, and when you factor in his recent uptick in output and influence, the price looks generous for a player so heavily involved in the final third.
In addition, Altrincham have kept just five league clean sheets all season and none since the first week of November.
Prediction: Luke McCormick to Score @6.00
Boreham Wood’s away fixtures have been among the most goal-heavy in the league. An incredible 11 of their 14 away league games have gone over 2.5 goals - the highest ratio in the division - including each of the last nine. Looking beyond the league, 17 of their last 18 matches in all competitions have also cleared that line.
Woking have contributed to the trend too, with over 2.5 goals landing in four of their last five. Boreham Wood arrive on the back of four straight league defeats, and Woking will sense an opportunity to capitalise. That dynamic should encourage an open, end-to-end contest, with both sides likely to play on the front foot.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80
Merthyr’s recent dip in form is understandable following the departures of Rico Rees and Cole Jarvis, with defeats away at Southport and Darlington and at home with ten men to AFC Telford. However, they now return to their home patch, where they’ve been excellent all season. They boast a league-high 66 goals, along with the fourth-best home record in the division.
The arrivals of Kiban Rai, Jordan Garrick and Jacob Maddox highlight continued ambition and should help restore some attacking edge. Chorley, meanwhile, look to be in real trouble. Two very poor recent home performances underline their current struggles, and their away record makes grim reading: just two wins all season, both back in August, and no away clean sheets at all. Defensive injuries continue to mount, and with likely same-day travel adding to their preparation issues, this shapes up as a daunting task.
Prediction: Merthyr Over 1.5 Goals @evens
Despite possessing arguably the strongest squad in the league, Worthing appear to be entering one of their familiar mid-season wobbles. They’re winless in six, with five of those matches seeing both teams score. Under Hinshelwood, however, their approach remains expansive and attacking, and they continue to find the net regularly, leading the league with 65 goals.
Their away matches are particularly entertaining, averaging just under four goals per game, with 10 of 14 going over 2.5. Dover’s home fixtures follow a similar pattern, averaging 3.5 goals. Both teams have scored in 11 of Dover’s 15 home games, while over 2.5 has landed in 10 of those 15. Dover have failed to score at home just once all season, and with the reverse fixture finishing 3–1 to Worthing, the signs point strongly towards another high-scoring encounter.
Prediction: Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals @1.80
Torquay matches average 3.14 goals per game, while Dorking sit at an even 3.0, underlining the attacking nature of both sides. The reverse fixture earlier in the campaign ended 3-1, and there’s little to suggest this will be cagey.
Torquay have seen over 2.5 goals in 11 of their 14 home games, and with Dorking struggling badly on the road, the hosts should find plenty of opportunities to exploit their weaknesses. Four of Dorking’s last five away matches have produced both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals, the lone exception being a somewhat anomalous 2-0 win at Hampton & Richmond.
Prediction: Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals @1.80
Chester arrive in a difficult spot, with uncertainty hanging over the club following the announcement that Calum McIntyre will depart at the end of the season. On the pitch, the numbers strongly point towards goals. Bedford have scored two or more in eight of their 15 home games, while Chester have conceded at least twice in eight of their 15 away matches.
Across those fixtures, 22 of the combined 30 Bedford home and Chester away games have gone over 2.5 goals. Chester’s recent form only strengthens the case, having lost their last three matches - all of which cleared that line - and seen over 2.5 land in each of their last five league outings. Defensively, Bedford also look more vulnerable with Nathan Ashmore returning to Boreham Wood. Overall, Bedford matches average 3.2 goals, while Chester’s sit just shy of three per game at 2.97, making another open contest likely.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals @1.80 & Bedford Over Goals @2.62
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