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Non League - Over 2.5 Goals Acca - Saturday 27th January 2024

Publish Date: 26/01/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland

While the FA Cup will take the majority of the media limelight, there are an abundance of Non-League games on. With that in mind, I have a 7.18 odds over 2.5 goals acca.

Concord Rangers vs Kingstonian

First, is a relegation battle from the Isthmian Premier League as the bottom two face off at Thames Road.

The hosts currently sit 21st, seven points off 18th place Margate. However, the Beach Boys have six games in hand due to multiple postponements. Due to only play nine home games thus far, Concord Rangers rank second last for home form, picking up just eight points in nine games.

Rangers fans have been blessed with entertainment in these games, with their side scoring 14 goals and conceding 21, for an average of 3.88 goals per game. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 8/9 (89%) of these games, the exception being a 1-1 draw with Horsham who rank second lowest for over 2.5 goals away from home.

Kingstonian have been on a dire run of form, losing six games in a row and are without a win in 13. The K's have the worst defensive record in the league, conceding 56 goals in 24 games, an average of 2.33 per game. However, they have also been strong in front of goal, scoring 36 - the most in the bottom half.

Despite sitting bottom, Kingstonian have scored in 19/24 games. Simon Lane's side have only kept two clean sheets in this period. The K's games have averaged 3.83 goals in them, with over 2.5 goals landing in 21/24 games -  a league high.

Basingstoke vs Winchester City

A mid-table clash is the first of three Southern League South games previewed. 12th placed Basingstoke host 13th placed Winchester City in a Hampshire derby at Winklebury Football Complex.

The Stoke have won back-to-back games to give themselves some breathing room over the relegation zone. Dan Brownlie's side have certainly not been short of goals, scoring 53 goals - the third most in the league. However, on the flip side, they've also conceded a league high of 66 goals, with their games averaging 4.1 goals per game. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 12/14 games at the Winklebury Football Complex.

Winchester City are without a win in seven games, losing three in a row, seeing them slip down to 13th, two points behind Saturday's hosts. However, they have played five less games than Basingstoke. With 40 goals scored and 43 conceded in 24 games, the Citizens games are averaging 3.45 goals per games. This average even increases away from home (3.83). Away from home, over 2.5 goals has landed in 10/12 (83%).

Hanwell Town vs Hendon

The second of the matches from the Southern League South comes as 16th place Hanwell Town host 10th place Hendon at Reynolds Field.

Hanwell have won three of their last four, steering them four points clear of the relegation zone. The Geordies have the second worst home record in the league, picking up just nine points in 12 games, with these games seeing an average of 3.33 goals. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 9/12 (75%) of home games.

Hendon have been out of league action for three weeks now, with their last outing coming in the famous 1-2 victory away at Oldham in the FA Trophy. Lee Allinson will believe his side are still capable of reaching the playoffs, as they sit just six points off AFC Totton. With 42 goals scored and 38 conceded in 25 games, the Green's games have averaged 3.2 goals per game. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 10/13 away games (77%).

Merthyr Town vs Didcot Town

The final Southern League South selection comes from Wales, with promotion chasing Merthyr Town facing off against second-bottom Didcot Town.

The Martyrs promotion bid has taken a slight hit in recent weeks, with back to back 3-2 losses against Beaconsfield Town and Dorchester, creating a bigger gap between them and leaders Chesham. Paul Michael's side are the top scorers in the league with 56 goals scored. 24-year-old Ricardo Rees has been vital in this, scoring 22 goals so far. Despite their dominance in attack, Merthyr have only kept four clean sheets all season, with their games averaging 3.57 goals per game and over 2.5 goals landing in 12/14 (86%) of their home games.

Didcot Town will be believing a great escape is on the hands after back-to-back wins have propelled them off the foot of table, just seven points from safety. Diddy games have averaged 3.44 goals per game and over 2.5 goals has landed in 10/12 (83%) of away games. Interestingly, Didcot have the joint worst defensive record away from home, conceding 35 goals in 12 on their travels. However, they've also scored 18 goals in these games, seeing an average of 4.41 goals per away game.

Bamber Bridge vs Radcliffe

The final game of the acca comes from the Northern Premier League with run away leaders Radcliffe travelling to 14th place Bamber Bridge.

Jamie Milligan's side are fresh off a 1-7 mauling at the hands of Marine, so confidence will be deflated. With an average goals per game of 3.4, Bamber Bridge have certainly entertained the masses. This has been the case in the last fifteen games, with 13 of these games seeing over 2.5 goals. After a 7-1 battering, the visit of a Radcliffe side who have won five straight and are the best in the league will be daunting.

While Radcliffe are the top scorers in the league with 65 goals in 24 games (2.7 PG), they have the worst defensive record in the top eight after conceding 33 goals. Joint managers Bernard Morley and Anthony Johnson's attacking philosophy is evident to see as Radcliffe games average over 4 goals per game. Josh Hancock and Jordan Hulme are joint on 14 goals, chasing the clubs golden boot.

Radcliffe have seen their last eight games have over 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has landed in a league high 11/12 away games.

 

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