Next UK Prime Minister Betting Sites In Detail
There was plenty of betting interest in the build up to the 2024 General Election, but just because a new Prime Minister has been named, that does not mean the betting interest will disappear.
Although the majority of the top UK bookmakers concentrate on sports, some of them will open markets on politics as a lot of people want to place bets on the Labour, Conservative and Reform Parties.
Below are a few of the best bookmakers for the latest politics betting.
Bet365 - Extensive General Election Markets
Pros and Cons of Bet365
- Favourable Party Odds
- Wide selection of Prime Minister markets
- Prime Minister Bet Boosts
- No General Election related welcome offers
Bet365 is one of the best online bookmakers when it comes to betting on sports, they also have their finger on the pulse when it comes to UK politics as well.
They have a specified section that focuses on a General Election - in the build up to one that might be planned. Being honest you can bet on anything when it comes to UK politics.
Popular markets obviously include ‘Prime Minister After Election’ and ‘Government After Next Election’ but there are a lot of other markets that you might see some value in.
Betting on which party will claim the most seats will be a very popular market in the weeks leading up to any General Election.
Although this guide is primarily about betting on the next Prime Minister, you could place bets that are more relevant to you and where you live.
Every Constituency has their own betting market ahead of the General Election. So whether you live in Aberdeen North, Barking, Cotswolds North, Wakefield and Rothwell, Watford or Wigan, you will be able to place bets on which party will claim those seats.
Other markets include Turnout Percentage, Party Total Seats, Party Vote Share and the Overall Majority. Bet365 also has a Bet Boosts section on the General Election with a number of separate bets with boosted odds.
All these markets were featured in the July 4 General Election and as the months and years go on, more markets will be added and they will centre around Sir Keir Starmer rather than Rishi Sunak.
If you want to get the most value out of betting on the General Election and the next Prime Minister, then Bet365 is a good place to start.
Open Account Offer Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required.
BetMGM - Impressive Prime Minister Betting Section
Pros and Cons of BetMGM
- Large General Election market betting
- Generous odds on politics
- Welcome Offer not available on politics
BetMGM is quickly becoming a major player when it comes to sports betting and they are also getting involved in the world of politics.
BetMGM had their own dedicated 2024 UK General Election market with a wide range of bets available, which saw Labour forma new Government with Sie Keir Starmer named new Prime Minister.
You can click on ‘All’ to open up a page with every single bet on offer. You can also open pages labelled ‘Most Popular’, ‘Elections’, ‘Performance’ and ‘Other Bets’.
This narrows down each market and makes it easier for you to find the markets you want to bet on. The mOst Popular section will include which party will claim the most seats and who will be the Prime Minister after the election.
The Election section focuses on whether the UK will have a Coalition Government like they did in 2010 when the Conservatives and Lib Dems formed a government. That was the first Coalition since 1945 and there has not been once since David Cameron and Nick Clegg joined forces.
The Performance markets focus on how many seats each party will win. If you think the Conservatives will have a torrid time, then look at the odds on them claiming less than 49 seats - stranger things have happened as a lot of people ate screaming out for a change.
The Other Bets can see punters bet on which party will claim the most seats in Scotland.
BetMGM have an impressive welcome offer of Bet £10 And Get £40 In Free Bets. Unfortunately, this offer cannot be used on politics.
Some bookmakers will word their offers with ‘bet on any sports’ and that would include politics as all the markets are included in the sports section.
This offer clearly states that the free bets you will receive will be for horse racing, Bet Buildr, Football and an Acca - none of these are included in the politics or General Election section. That is the only downside really.
New customers only. 7 days to place qualifying bet of £10 at 1/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x £10 Free Bets. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Betting On The Next Prime Minister - A Short Overview
Politics is perhaps the most popular
novelty betting
form, alongside TV shows like
I'm A Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here. When it comes to betting on the next Prime Minister, however, you should not confuse things with General Election betting.
While this is the most common way that a PM will be chosen, it’s vital to remember that this isn’t the only way it might happen. For example, after Boris Johnston, both Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak were put in their positions through a Tory Leadership contest.
So as a quick summary, here are the two most common types of contest that you might bet on in this respect:
- UK General Election
- Party Leadership Contest
Next UK Prime Minister betting
- General Election
A general election is the most common way that a new PM will be chosen. However, when betting on a GE, the Labour and Conservative candidates will have already been chosen well in advance.
As a result, much the same is with
betting on the next US Presidential Election, there are two odds-on front runners. A General Election will almost certainly be won by the Labour or Conservative candidate, so you only really have two short odds options here.
The only realistic exception is a hung parliament, which has happened in recent history - when the Lib Dem-Tory coalition was formed in 2010. However, in this case, the favourite to become the next UK Prime Minister betting odds, David Cameron, still entered No. 10 to take the top job.
Party Leadership Contest
If the next PM is to be chosen via a party leadership contest, then things can get a bit more complicated but also more interesting. If you bet at the early stages of Prime Minister betting here, then you have a large number of options available.
At first, candidates have to put themselves forward and receive backing from their MPs. Rounds of voting then take place among MPs and the party membership, eventually whittling it down to two clear candidates.
As a result, the favourite may not become clear until there are only two candidates left. For instance, in 2022, Liz Truss was as low as eighth in the betting during the early rounds.
Betting Odds For The Next Prime Minister
- How They Work
There are three main things to consider when it comes to the odds for betting on the next UK PM:
- Implied probability
- The real chance as a percentage of the candidate becomes the PM.
- Bookies’ odds
- The bookie will always alter the odds to add in a margin.
- Your own implied probability calculation
- Asses each candidate’s chances yourself to see how your predictions match up with those of the bookmakers.
If you are betting on the next PM in a General Election, it’s important to remember that we don’t actually vote for a Prime Minister here in the UK. Instead, people vote for their local MP based on the party that they are representing.
It is then the leader of the party that wins the election that will enter No. 10. While this means that the odds for the favourite party to win and the favourite next PM will largely be the same, there are some outside factors to consider that could affect the betting, such as scandals.
Often, the leadership contest might be taking place because of a scandal. Think Boris Johnston being forced from office in 2022 following Party Gate, or Liz Truss becoming the shortest ever serving PM - you may remember that she was outlasted by a lettuce.
The Best
Prime Minister Betting Sites
Here at Betting.co.uk, we have assessed all of the UK bookies that are currently offering odds and markets on the next UK PM. On this page, you can find an up-to-date list of the best sites where you can currently bet on the next UK PM.
Additionally, if you are looking for other UK novelty betting markets, we have also covered plenty of other niches. For instance, you can take a look at the best options for
betting on the UK Royal Family
right here.
How We Rate The Best Sites For Next Prime Minister Betting
At
Betting.co.uk, we don’t merely want to introduce you to the best Prime Minister betting sites. On top of that, we also want to show you how we draw our own conclusions.
That’s why in the list below you can look at the main things we considered when rating sites:
| Factor | Why is it important? |
| Betting markets | Above all else, the site must have actual UK politics betting markets available |
| Competitive odds | We always compare the odds between online bookies to find the sites with the most value |
| Promos and Bonuses | When something as important as a General Election or decisive party leadership contest comes along, the best bookies will offer special promos and bonuses |
| General attributes | As well as looking at a betting site’s offers specifically related to next UK PM betting, we also have to consider how good the site is overall |
| Licencing | All genuine bookmakers need a gambling licence. In the UK there are 3 types of licences from the UK Gambling Commission. We will never focus on a site that does not hold the relevant licence.
|
| Payment | Most online bookmakers take a number of payment methods. Debit cards are the most popular, but check out which sites allow the likes of PayPal, Skrill and Apple Pay. Ensure your chosen method is used on the betting site you want to sign up to. |
| Customer Service | Customer support is important when using betting sites. Make sure you know the waiting times for any response, while the FAQ section could save you a lot of time.
|
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Betting On A New Prime Minister
- A Step-By-Step Guide
Now you can check out this comprehensive step-by-step guide to betting on the next UK PM. This will walk you through the whole process from start to finish.
- Choose a bookmaker here at Betting.co.uk
- Register an account
- Make your first deposit
- Claim your welcome bonus
- Research each candidate thoroughly
- Choose your betting market
- Place your bet
- Wait for the General Election/leadership contest’s conclusion
Choosing The Right Candidate To Become The Next Prime Minister
We would all like to believe that we are backing someone to become Prime Minister because we believe in their policies and feel they will do what is right for the country and the people living here.
Although that is the case in some areas, you would be foolish if you did not think this was just one big popularity contest.
Prime Minister's Questions is the time for MPs to put questions to the PM. This just ends up being a competition to see who gets the most cheers or jeers. From the outside looking in, nothing ever gets solved and you will be lucky if the PM gives a straight answer.
We mentioned popularity and the world of sports has even entered this race to be the next Prime Minister. Rishi Sunak is a Southampton FC supporter and as soon as his team reached the Championship Play-Off Final, it seemed a lot of people wanted Leeds United to win just to annoy the Prime Minister.
OK, not everyone wanted Leeds to win, but the anti-Sunak fans were out in full voice with some vile chanting at Wembley Stadium. When sport gets mixed with politics, you know there is some resentment in the air.
We are not saying football will play a major part in who will become the next Prime Minister, but voters are constantly looking for reasons to dislike one candidate and supporting a team over another will definitely split opinion. We cannot see many Portsmouth fans publicly backing Sunak to run the country, it seems petty but that is how people feel.
Why Betting On The Next Prime Minister Is Such A Popular Market?
Punters like to place bets on the hottest topics in sport - ie, England’s Euro 2024 chances, the next Manchester United manager and new Chelsea boss. It is no different when it comes to politics and who will become the next Prime Minister.
The betting interest at the General Election will be sky high. We mentioned that people want a change and we all want to be a part of it.
There will be plenty of different markets on offer like the most seats, overall majority and which party will lead the Government, but actually backing who will lead the country is the big one.
We mentioned popularity earlier on and that is honestly the key here. People want Sunak out and they want him out more than they care about Starmer’s policies. They will worry about them when Sunak is out of 10 Downing Street.
Betting Prime Minister
- Top tips
To finish up this guide, here are a few top tips for betting on the next UK PM:
❓
Consider how the next PM is being chosen
Depending on if it’s an election or leadership contest, your approach will be different.
🗳️
Remember how we elect in the UK
We vote for a party and not a person, so this should be accounted for in your thinking.
Especially if it’s a leadership contest, the best value can be found if you can pick the winning candidate during the early rounds.
🤔
Consider outside factors
Could potential scandals or bumps in the road be predicted that could scupper a favourite’s chances?
📈
Account for unpredictability
General Elections used to be a foregone conclusion, but recent ones have shown us this is no longer always the case.
The History Of Recent Prime Ministers
It feels like we have had a revolving door outside 10 Downing Street in recent years. Here is a brief list of the last 10 leaders of the UK Government.
| Prime Minister | Years In Office | Political Party |
| Sir Keir Starmer | 2024 - Present | Labour |
| Rishi Sunak | 2022-2024 | Conservative |
| Liz Truss | 2022 | Conservative |
| Boris Johnson | 2019-2022 | Conservative |
| Theresa May | 2016-2019 | Conservative |
| David Cameron | 2010-2016 | Conservative |
| Gordon Brown | 2007-2010 | Labour |
| Sir Tony Blair | 1997-2007 | Labour |
| Sir John Major | 1990-1997 | Conservative |
| Baroness Margaret Thatcher | 1979-1990 | Conservative
|
| James Callaghan | 1976-1979 | Labour |
Next Labour Party Leader
The UK might have a new Prime Minister in Sir Keir Starmer, but that does not mean he will last the full term.
The knives already seem to be out for Starmer and his Labour Government, so it would not be a shock if a scandal is revealed and he is forced to step down.
If that ends up being the case, there will be a race to replace him and you can already get odds on who that would be.
With Starmer not winning my popularity competitions, a lot of punters are placing bets on who will take over as the leader of Labour with Wes Streeting the bookies favourite with
Bet365.
Here are the frontrunners to become the next leader of the Labour Party.
- Wes Streeting - 5/1
- Rachel Reeves - 5/1
- Angela Raynor - 10/1
- Yvette Cooper - 10/1
- Andy Burnham - 10/1
- Bridget Phillipson - 11/1
- Lisa Nandy - 14/1
- Christian Wakeford - 33/1
Others on request
Next Conservative Party Leader
This guide is mainly about Prime Minister betting and what markets you can bet on, but with a new Prime Minister being announced what does that mean for the outgoing PM?
Rishi Sunak said he was going to stand down when a replacement had been found. That replacement has been revealed as Kemi Badenoch.
Badenoch has recently been installed as the new Conservative Party leader, but we know things can change very quickly in the world of politics. James Cleverly is the current favourite to be the next Tory leader.
Here are the latest odds with Bet365:
- James Cleverly - 7/2
- Robert Jenrick - 11/2
- Nigel Farage - 15/2
- Tom Tugendhat - 10/1
- Clare Coutinho - 12/1
- Boris Johnson - 14/1
- Priti Patel - 14/1
- Jeremy Hunt - 20/1
Others on request
Prime Minister Betting
- Conclusion
There you have it folks, you now have all of the information and tips that you need to get started. Now all that’s left to do is choose your ideal bookie and keep on top of your UK politics. You can always bookmark this page and check back in with us for updates and more top tips.
Next Prime Minister Betting Pros and Cons
- A selection of markets to pick from
- The final vote could have a public element
- Odds are available year-round, not just during an election or leadership contest
- It's hard to account for all the political variables
Try These Top Bookmaker Bonus Offers
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Prime Minister Betting Sites
FAQ
📅 When Is The Next General Election In The UK?
There is no set date for the next General Election after Sir Keir Starmer and Labour won the 2024 General Election on July 4.
❓ Can I bet on the next UK Prime Minister?
See what options are available to you for politics and novelty betting right here. At Betting.co.uk, we can always help you out - no matter what the niche.
📍 Where can I find odds on the next UK PM?
You can compare the odds for the next UK PM here at Betting.co.uk. We compare the live odds from all the best online bookies in the UK to help you find the best.
🕴Is it legal to bet on the next UK Prime Minister?
In this comprehensive guide to UK politics betting, we have covered the dos and don’ts. With us, you can always stay on the right side of the law.
🗳️ How Many Seats Are Needed For The Majority Bet To Be Successful?
There are 650 seats in the House of Commons, so a party needs to claim 326 seats in order to be handed a majority verdict. It cannot be classed as a majority if the 326 seats threshold has not been reached. Labour won the 2024 General Election with 412 seats to claim a majority victory.
