BATE Borisov welcome Neman Grodno to the Borisov Arena this weekend for what looks like being a fairly straightforward task for the home side. BATE have been in good form over the last month, while the visitors have struggled away from home. Here, we’ll give you a rundown of both teams’ chances and give you a few statistical pointers as to where good value can be found when it comes to betting on this Belarus Premier League match.
BATE have been in good form in their last three matches. Kiryl Alsheuski’s side have scored five goals and conceded none in those matches, winning twice and drawing once. William Hill are offering odds of 2.60 for the home side to score in both halves in this match.
Stanislav Dragun might be in line for a starting role. The midfielder came off the bench in BATE’s last game, a 2-0 away win at Gorodeya. The 31-year-old Minsk-born player made a real difference in that game. With the score deadlocked at 0-0, it was Dragun who broke the game open with his 79th minute strike, paving the way for convincing win in the end.
Sergey Pushkov’s Neman Grodno team have been in mixed form in recent weeks. In their last game, they enjoyed a 3-0 home win over Energetyk-BGU, a result which brought an end to a run of three games without a win. Midfielder Pavel Zabelin scored two goals in that win, and he looks like being a key man in this testing trip to BATE this weekend.
Grodno only scored one goal in the three games prior to that victory, however. That run featured two draws, as well as an away defeat to Dinamo Minsk, where they were beaten 2-0.
Recent history between these two sides points to a BATE win this weekend. The home side on Sunday have not been beaten by Grodno in at least the last eight clashes between the sides. BATE do not concede many goals in their games against Grodno either. In the last eight matches between the teams, BATE have managed to keep six clean sheets. They have only conceded three goals to Grodno in those eight games, and have scored 15, a real indication of the kind of dominance they traditionally enjoy in this fixture.
There is an interesting little statistical quirk in recent matches between the teams, however, something that astute punters should take notice of. In the last three games between these teams, BATE have won 1-0. Two of those games have been home matches for BATE and one has been played away from home. That run suggests that, while things may turn out to be close, and possibly even tight and tense, we can expect BATE to prevail in the end. William Hill are offering odds of 1.95 on BATE winning the game to nil this weekend.
Sergey Pushkov’s Grodno side certainly look to have their work cut out this weekend, given their recent run of results. Consistency has been a major problem for Pushkov’s men, who look to be capable on their day of giving almost any other side in the league a good game. Scoring goals has been something of a problem for Neman in recent weeks. They are also a team who perform much more strongly at home than away from home. This is not just true of their matches over the last month or so, but also in their record against Sunday’s opponents.
Given the history between the teams and their current league positions, with BATE just three points off the top of the table, we have to say that it would be hard to bet against the home side continuing their good recent run. They also look like continuing the trend of recent games against Grodno.
Our recommended tip for this game comes from William Hill. They are offering odds of 7.50 on the home side wining the game 3-0, and we think that that looks like a good bet. BATE don’t have a historical record of conceding goals to Neman, while Neman have been in poor form away from home over the last few weeks. They also do not have a good record in recent games against BATE, whether facing them away or at home. We think that punters would be well served by betting on BATE to win this game in convincing fashion.