Bayern Munich’s charge towards the Bundesliga title continues on Saturday afternoon, with the Reds visiting Bayer Leverkusen. The hosts currently sit in fifth place in the table, and will want to win to put more pressure on fourth-placed Borussia Monchengladbach. There could be goals aplenty in this game as both teams have been in matches recently with five goals or more in them. Here, you can read about our predictions for the game and where you can find some of the best betting value for this intriguing Bundesliga clash.
Leverkusen may have suffered a shock 4-1 defeat at home to VfL Wolfsburg on May 26, but they bounced back at the weekend with a 1-0 win away at Freiburg that will have restored some confidence. Peter Bosz’s team now look like a good bet to finish in fourth place in the Bundesliga. Kai Havertz produced the game’s only goal. If you think he can repeat the feat at the weekend then William Hill have him priced at 8/5 to score at any time in the game. The midfielder has been linked with a move away to some of Europ’s top clubs in recent times.
Hansi Flick may manage the most successful side of all time in German football, but he has never before won the Bundesliga title. It looks as though the 2019/20 season will be when he breaks that duck, but he will not want his Reds side to show any kind of complacency against a Leverkusen team that is sure to be well-motivated. Flick took over from Niko Kovac in November, and since then the Reds have lost just two of their 19 Bundesliga matches. The team are also on a run of 19 games without defeat in all competitions.
Bayern may currently be the Bundesliga’s top team, but they have not enjoyed the best of things against Leverkusen in recent seasons. This is particularly true of games at the BayArena. The Bavarians have won just once in their last six league visits to Leverkusen. That victory came in January 2018, when Bayern won 3-1 at the BayArena. Earlier this season, the sides clashed on November 30, 2019, in Munich. Leverkusen won that game 2-1, thanks to a brace of first-half goals from Leon Bailey. Even a late Jonathan Tah red card could not prevent Bayer from winning that day.
The home side certainly know how to find the net this season. They have scored at least once in their last 13 league games, and have hit nine in the four Bundesliga matches since the league resumed. Bayer have won three games out of the four they have played since the resumption.
Bayern are the form team in the Bundesliga as well as the table toppers. Now seven points clear at the top of the league, Flick’s team have won eight league games in a row, and have scored 28 goals during that run. Defensively they are also strong, having kept five clean sheets during that eight-game winning run. Robert Lewandwoski remains the man to watch for the Reds. The Pole has now scored four goals in his last four games for Bayern, taking his league tally for the season to 29. The 31-year-old does not have a great recent record against Leverkusen, however, having not scored in his last four league appearances against Bayer. William Hill have him at odds of 9/4 to score two or more goals on Saturday.
The men from Munich also tend to score first in games in recent times. They have scored first in their last eight games. If they repeat this feat on Saturday it could give them the momentum they need to surge to an important victory. In their last three away games, Bayern have scored nine goals and conceded none – a warning for Leverkusen.
Our recommended tip for this game comes from William Hill, who are offering a price of 13/2 on Leverkusen to win and both teams to score. We think that Leverkusen will win this game 2-1. While Bayern are in great form, they do seem to have a psychological block when it comes to visiting the BayArena. While home advantage is not as significant with no fans in the ground, we suspect that this recent record will give the Bundesliga’s fourth-placed team some real confidence. If Bayern do lose, it will not torpedo their title chances, but it could do a lot for Leverkusen’s Champions League qualification hopes.