Brighton & Hove Albion – Tottenham Hotspur
Tip:
Johnson shot on target
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An attractive Super Sunday offering sees Brighton and Hove Albion host Tottenham Hotspur in a match that could result in one of the sides leaping into the European positions, leaving the other in mid-table.
Brighton Feel Palmer Pain
The Seagulls went into their match with Chelsea still unbeaten in the league but after defeat at Stamford Bridge, the narrative can suddenly be spun as they are now without a win in four.
Fabian Hurzeler saw his high line tactic punished by the Blues as Cole Palmer struck four times in the first half, and the German admitted post-match that he would discuss it with his players as he suggested the ‘connection was missing’.
Brighton kept it tight at the back at the very start of the campaign, but they have since conceded eight goals in three games in all competitions.
Magnificent in Manchester
Spurs annihilated Manchester United at Old Trafford last weekend. It was a signature win for Ange Postecoglou, who described it as an ‘outstanding performance’.
Micky van de Ven caught the eye with a sensational run to set up the first, while Dejan Kulusevski was also at his best, adding the second goal and being constantly involved in the final third.
Postecoglou had come under some criticism following back-to-back defeats by Newcastle United and Arsenal in September, but his team have responded and still look like a serious contender for a top-four spot, especially now that Dominic Solanke is scoring with regularity.
The Winner Takes It All
Every Premier League fixture between Brighton and Spurs since the beginning of the 2018/19 season has had a winner, with Tottenham securing the points on eight occasions, and the Seagulls notching four victories.
Three of Brighton’s triumphs have been at home, including last year’s 4-2 victory in which Spurs scored twice late on to make the scoreline look respectable.
The American Express Stadium was a happy hunting ground for Harry Kane until his departure in 2023. After Brighton’s promotion in 2017, whenever Spurs scored at Brighton, Kane was on the scoresheet, netting four times in total.
Tottenham’s new striker, Solanke, scored at the Amex for Bournemouth last term.
Tip:
Johnson shot on target
Brand
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Tottenham have not had the best away record since Postecoglou took charge but will arrive on the South Coast full of confidence after dispatching Manchester United.
For Brighton, it’s the home form that is becoming a worry. Recent draws against Ipswich Town and Nottingham Forest were particularly disappointing.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Tottenham Hotspur
1
Brighton have won just two out of their last eight home league fixtures stretching back to last season.
2
Only Manchester City have averaged more shots per game than Tottenham (18.3) thus far.
3
The Seagulls have only been caught offside once in their three home league games under Hurzeler.
Our Betting Tip for Today
Brennan Johnson’s opener at Old Trafford was his fourth goal in as many games. The Wales international features in the best bet for this fixture, as we look for the winger to produce a shot on target.
Back Brennan
Johnson has nailed down a starting position at Spurs and deservedly so. His terrific goalscoring form has been no fluke - the 23-year-old has had 18 shots in six Premier League starts in 2024-25, with six of those efforts hitting the target.
His rate of shots on target, one per game on average, appears very sustainable given the overall number of attempts. If Brighton persevere with their high line, Johnson will need no second invitation to get in behind and get shots off.
The former Nottingham Forest player has increased his output in recent weeks and is rapidly growing in confidence. He registered four shots with one on target against Arsenal, six shots including a goal versus Brentford, and three attempts at Old Trafford, one of which found the net.
Chelsea generated 3.31 xG when they beat Brighton a week ago. Spurs are capable of causing similar problems on Sunday.
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