Burnley vs Tottenham Hotspur – 03/07/2024 (17:30pm)

This Saturday’s late afternoon kick off sees 9th placed Burnley, who are on a brilliant run of form, face 7th placed Tottenham Hotspur who have been struggling of late in what is sure to be a spicy affair. With both teams looking to secure European Football in one way or another, this fixture will prove to be a pivotal one come the end of the season. We shall be analysing all the statistics, head to head records, recent form as well as injury updates ahead of the game, to give you the most informed betting tips across the web. Sean Dyche and Jose Mourinho will both feel they can get one over each other in this fixture, with a heated history between the pair, expect fireworks at Turf Moor.

Burnley are unbeaten in their last seven games, which includes impressive victories over Leicester City, Manchester United, as well as South Coast pair Bournemouth and Southampton. What looked to be a struggle heading into the second half of the season has been somewhat of a breeze, easing any relegation worries and with bright hopes ahead of the last ten games of the season. One final push to either qualify for Europe or slip into mid table mediocrity. Sean Dyche probably doesn’t get the credit he deserves. He is known to be a one trick pony with his rigid tactics that provide unexciting, yet effective football that does the job. Burnley could count themselves unfortunate to not receive a penalty in their last fixture up at Newcastle, a goal that would have secured another 3 points. The return of leading goal scoring Chris Wood to the team will give the Clarets an added boost to their already impressive form of late

A 3 game winning run saw Jose Mourinho’s side close the gap to just one point ahead of their crucial London Derby against Chelsea, raising hopes that Champions League football could once again return to North London for a 5th Consecutive season. However, the untimely loss of Son, along with long term absentee Harry Kane has left Spurs painfully short up front with midfielders having to fill in the void left by their two star men. This has led to 3 losses on the trot in all competitions (A 1-0 defeat at home to RB Leipzig in the Champions League, sandwiched between two defeats against champions league qualification rivals Chelsea and Wolves respectively). Jose’s negativity surrounding the club has not aided the team's cause and they will need to start picking up points from now to stand any chance of securing a top four finish.

Spurs have the upper hand in this fixture, having only lost once in the last 8 fixtures between the sides, however that defeat came in this exact fixture last season. Burnley came from behind to secure a shock 2-1 victory against a dominant spurs side. Burnley struggle to score in this fixture with just 4 goals in those games whilst spurs recorded a whopping 15 goals, thus heavily outscoring their counterparts. With differing form heading into this game, it wouldn’t be wise to predict a result based on historical form. A team without Kane and Son is a severely weakened team compared to them in it. Burnley will test Mourinho’s side to the limit this weekend.

Open Game Expected

No team has had more goals than Spurs in their games this season from the moment Jose Mourinho has taken over. A somewhat surprising statistic given how defensively minded the manager has been throughout his career. Mourinho will not be happy with how open and exposed his side have been this season and has been quoted on many occasions how he cannot wait for the season to be over. With players from midfield expected to carry the scoring burden, the gaps being left are causing Spurs some real issues. These problems are those that Burnley will be aiming to pounce on. We expect a fiercely fought competitive game. The over 2.5 goals market, well priced at 2.10 at Bet365 will be extremely appealing given how open Tottenham’s defence has been.

The five most recent results

Our top betting tip for the match between Burnley and Tottenham Hotspur this weekend is to bet on the home win, which is available at decent value of 3.0 with bookmaker Coral. The absence of Kane and Son has affected Spurs far worse than anyone could have imagined, their speed and brilliance of leading the team and scoring vital goals has been a big miss over the past 2 weeks. They will need to start coming up with solutions fast. Burnley never make it easy for opponents at Turf Moor and we foresee them out bullying Spurs’ young and inexperienced defence to a hard fought win by the odd goal.