Tip:
Saka to foul, James to be fouled
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Super Sunday is headlined by a London derby this weekend, and it is perhaps a surprise that the home side Chelsea are ahead of Arsenal in the Premier League table through 10 games.
Blues Rampant in Europe
Chelsea underwhelmed in their 1-1 draw with Manchester United a week ago, but there was nothing underwhelming about their 8-0 victory over Armenian outfit FC Noah on Thursday night.
Enzo Maresca fielded a much-changed side, helping those on the fringes of the first-choice XI - such as Joao Felix, Mykhailo Mudryk, and Christopher Nkunku - play themselves into form.
Arsenal will present a much sterner test, and the Blues will need to show more in an attacking sense than they did at Old Trafford if they are to get a result. While the performance against Manchester United was nothing special, the point earned was enough to lift them into the top four.
Arsenal’s Road Struggles Continue
The Gunners’ 1-0 defeat by Inter on Wednesday means their only win in six away games since the triumph at Tottenham Hotspur was the Carabao Cup success over Preston North End.
If you exclude that 3-0 win over the Championship side, their last three road trips have ended in defeat, and they failed to score in each of those losses.
Thankfully for Mikel Arteta, Martin Odegaard is back in the fold and could start at Stamford Bridge. Declan Rice has a broken toe and Kai Havertz suffered a nasty cut in Milan, but both are still in line to feature.
Arteta Has Chelsea’s Number
The Blues have only beaten Arsenal once since the turn of the decade. Arteta’s first home game in charge at the Emirates took place two days before the end of 2019 in a losing effort against Chelsea, but he has since won seven and drawn two of his 10 H2Hs.
Arsenal wiped the floor with the West London club when they last met in April as former Blue, Kai Havertz, scored twice in a 5-0 home win.
The contest at Stamford Bridge last season was far more competitive, as the Gunners came from 2-0 down to earn a valuable point.
Tip:
Saka to foul, James to be fouled
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Arsenal have struggled on their travels recently but they can take some encouragement from their recent record away at Chelsea.
The Gunners avoided defeat in West London last season thanks to a late rally, keeping up a relatively lengthy unbeaten run in SW6.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal
1
Arsenal have scored on their last seven visits to Stamford Bridge.
2
The last time Chelsea recorded a home win over the Gunners was in August 2018.
3
There have been a total of 13 goals across the three most recent H2Hs.
Our Betting Tip for Today
There is some uncertainty around the availability of several Arsenal stars, but Bukayo Saka will undoubtedly play and the best bet is for him to commit a foul, and Reece James to be fouled.
The ‘player to be fouled’ market that some bookmakers offer is a great one to dive into, especially with bet builders that also include a player to commit a foul, as you have the opportunity to win both selections in one incident.
That is what we are targeting here, as Saka lines up on the right wing, most likely against James, who has been operating mainly at left-back since his return to fitness.
James has drawn four fouls in 232 minutes this season, meaning his price to win another one on Sunday would be appealing enough without the added element of Saka keeping him company on Chelsea’s left-hand side.
Saka has been prolific in the fouls committed department, particularly against the better teams. He was penalised five times at the San Siro on Wednesday and gave away seven free-kicks across the Newcastle, Liverpool, Southampton, and Paris Saint-Germain fixtures in October.
Having fouled at least once in his last six starts for club and country, it’s a nice addition to the James selection for an odds-against bet builder.
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