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Denmark vs England Betting Tips: 20.06.2024 - Predictions & Match Preview

Euro 2024 Tips Betting Tips · 20/06/2024 - 5:00 pm · Deutsche Bank Park

Publish Date: 18/06/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland

Gareth Southgate has divided opinion among England fans since his appointment in 2016. The 1-0 win over Serbia on Sunday seemed to raise more questions than answers, and Three Lions supporters will want to see something more eye-catching as they renew acquaintances with Denmark on matchday two.

Recent form analysis

DenmarkDeflection denies Danes

Denmark, despite an ageing core, were strongly fancied to progress from Group C, but their position is precarious after a 1-1 draw with Slovenia. Defeat by England would see them needing a victory against Serbia next Tuesday.

The Danes’ opening match in Stuttgart got off to a fairytale start as Christian Eriksen, three years on from collapsing on the pitch in this competition, fired them into the lead. The 32-year-old, who has fallen out of favour at Manchester United, still provides the creative spark for his country.

Slovenia grew more into the game as the second half went on and their equaliser, though a touch fortuitous as it took a huge nick off of Morten Hjulmand, was broadly deserved.

EnglandSouthgate solid if unspectacular

Sunday’s success made it four opening fixture wins in as many tournaments for Southgate. Compared with the 2022 FIFA World Cup starting point against Iran, in which England won 6-2, this was a less exciting but far more defensively sound display.

The Three Lions restricted Serbia, a side with multiple Champions League-calibre players, to just four shots and one on target across the 90 minutes.

“If you keep clean sheets in tournaments you have a very good chance of going on and winning it,” said right-back Kyle Walker in the aftermath. The manager, players and fans know there is room for improvement. However, the squad is blighted by injuries at the back and they passed the first test at that end of the pitch. Trickier assignments are still to come.

Denmark seek Wembley redemption

These two teams are no strangers to one another at major tournaments. This will be their fourth encounter on the big stage and the Danes still feel hard done by after the last meeting between the pair.

Referee Danny Makkelie’s decision to award England a penalty for Joakim Maehle's challenge on Raheem Sterling was a contentious one, and it led to Harry Kane’s goal that sent Southgate’s men to the final of Euro 2020.

Six of the 11 starters for Denmark that night were involved against Slovenia. Mikkel Damsgaard, who scored a stunning free-kick at Wembley to give the Danes the breakthrough, has remarkably not found the net for club or country since that night and was an unused substitute on Sunday.

Tip:
England to win either half + Kane SoT
Best Odd
1.90
Brand
Bet365
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Statistical highlights

The England manager is on the cusp of an impressive personal achievement, but he will be far more concerned with getting the best out of his star attacking players. Phil Foden in particular is yet to show the same form for the Three Lions as he has for Manchester City.

Denmark vs. England
1
If England beat Denmark, Gareth Southgate would have the best points per game record at major tournaments (2.10ppg) in the nation’s history.
2
The Premier League Player of the Year, Phil Foden, registered zero shots, dribbles, and tackles against Serbia.
3
Since winning Euro 1992, Denmark have only twice progressed to the knockout phase of the competition.

Our Betting Tip for Today

The gulf between these two teams is greater than it was three years ago. The Three Lions should control the early stages of the game as they did against Serbia and even if they do fall behind, Denmark may be too brittle to withstand the English onslaught. The best bet is for England to win either half and Kane to record a shot on goal.

Kane to hit the target

England’s best chance to put Serbia to bed in the second half fell to Kane after a superb Jarrod Bowen cross. The Bayern Munich forward generated plenty of power on his header but it was too close to goalkeeper Predrag Rajkovic who was able to push it onto the bar.

The captain has posted a shot on target in nine of his last 10 competitive appearances for England, and he’d love to open his goalscoring account for the Euros campaign on Thursday.

By adding the Three Lions to win either half into the bet builder, we generate odds of just under Evens, which looks a fair price for a bet with an excellent hit rate.

Kane will relish coming up against Kasper Schmeichel, who was between the sticks for 16 of the ex-Tottenham Hotspur striker’s 20 goals against Leicester City.

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