Tip:
Serbia 2+ cards, Eriksen over 41.5 passes
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Group C has been the tightest of all at Euro 2024. None of the four sides have scored or conceded more than two goals, and their destinies are in their own hands heading into matchday three.
Danes back on track
Denmark fans will have feared the worst when the Red and Whites could only muster a draw against Slovenia a week ago, but the encounter with England brought the Danes not just a positive result but also an encouraging performance.
Kasper Hjulmand’s side were good value for their point against the Three Lions and may have taken all three but for some timely Jordan Pickford saves.
Sitting in second place in the group, a draw may be enough for Denmark to progress to the last 16 for the second successive European Championship. Still, they will want to make absolutely sure with a win - an outcome that could see them top Group C if England fail to beat Slovenia.
Jovic the Serbia saviour
Aleksandar Mitrović and Dušan Vlahović were the two forwards expected to lead Serbia’s charge at Euro 2024 but with both misfiring, Real Madrid flop Luka Jovic stepped up to keep the nation’s hopes alive.
The 26-year-old’s stoppage-time equaliser against Slovenia leaves the Serbs with a win-and-in situation against Denmark on Tuesday.
After being limited to just four shots in the 1-0 defeat by England, the Eagles had 15 efforts on matchday two but were rather wasteful until Jovic headed home from Ivan Ilić's corner.
The Serbs must take their chances against a Danish outfit that kept England at bay for the majority of Thursday’s match.
Head-to-head favours Danes
Since Serbia’s declaration of independence in 2006, they have faced Denmark three times. Two of those matches took place during the Euro 2016 qualifying campaign.
The first of those two games was played behind closed doors in Belgrade as Serbia were serving a two-game crowd ban for fan violence. Former Manchester United winger Zoran Tošić gave the hosts the lead that night before the Danes battled back through a Nicklas Bendtner brace and a Simon Kjær header.
Seven months later, Denmark would complete the double over Serbia thanks to a goal in either half from Yussuf Poulsen and Jakob Poulsen.
Their only other meeting was in a friendly two years ago. That game carried huge significance as it marked the return of Christian Eriksen to Copenhagen's Parken Stadium - where he suffered a cardiac arrest in 2021. The midfielder scored and captained Denmark to a 3-0 victory.
Tip:
Serbia 2+ cards, Eriksen over 41.5 passes
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Both the form and history books read well for Denmark as they prepare to meet Serbia for the first time at a major tournament finals.
They will look to Eriksen to provide creative inspiration - something he has done expertly so far at Euro 2024.
Denmark vs. Serbia
1
Denmark have scored in each of their last seven games at the European Championships.
2
Serbia have been shown 45 cards (at least two per game) across their last 14 tournament matches.
3
Christian Eriksen has recorded 14 shot-creating actions across the first two games. Only Kevin De Bruyne has more.
Our Betting Tip for Today
Serbia’s disciplinary record offers up a nice starting point for a bet in this game, and we can also count on Eriksen’s influence. The best bet is for Serbia to be shown over 1 card, and Eriksen to play over 41.5 passes.
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Ranking joint-top for yellow cards and fourth in fouls committed at Euro 2024, it’s fair to assume that Serbia won’t take any prisoners in this must-win match-up.
Four Serbs were booked against Slovenia while two of their players, plus head coach Dragan Stojkovic, had their names taken versus England.
The 14-game streak of 2+ cards per game at major tournaments will surely end at some point, but it would be a big surprise if it was brought to a halt under these circumstances.
Eriksen registered 38 passes in 81 minutes on Thursday but that was an uncharacteristically low figure against an English side that boasted 54% of possession.
I expect his number here to be closer to the 64 he posted against Slovenia. At the 2022 World Cup, the 70 passes Eriksen attempted against France was his lowest return of the competition.
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