England vs Slovenia - 25/06/2024 - Match Preview & Betting Predictions

England – Slovenia

Tip:

England Win & Under 3.5 Goals

1.95

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Home Win 1

73.5%

1.36

Draw X

19.2%

5.20

Away Win 2

9.1%

11.00

England face Slovenia in Cologne

Southgate's men taken on Matjaz Kek's side on Tuesday night. The Three Lions are expected to win this encounter.

Oh England, where do we start? There’s endless potential within that squad. Gareth Southgate isn’t a fan favourite. His negative style hasn’t gone down well with the fans. No side has taken fewer shots than England in the tournament so far. That puts into perspective just how poor the former finalists are.

2024 hasn’t been a brilliant year for England. They’ve played six times and have won just twice. England has lost the shot count in both matches in Euro 2024. The Three Lions managed just five in their win over Serbia.

Changes are likely from the England boss. He needs to freshen things up. Something isn’t quite right; this could be an opportunity for a well-needed shake-up.

Matjaz Kek’s men have impressed. They’ve earned two points from as many matches. Slovenia has a decent chance of qualification. Another point here would be excellent. They’ll relish facing an England side with lots of negatives around them.

Slovenia is now on an eight-game unbeaten streak. Kek’s men have beaten Portugal and the USA in that time. The last time they failed to score was over a year ago. Score here, and it’s 15 matches in a row. Impressive.

In terms of quality, this encounter is a mismatch. Slovenia won’t mind that. The Dragons managed 11 shots in their clashes with Denmark and Serbia.

Victory Is Expected

England and Slovenia have faced one another six times since 2009. The Three Lions have won five of those encounters. It ended 0-0 in Ljubljana ten years ago. England are massive favourites; a win is likely as they look to extend that winning H2H record.

Slovenia had 32% possession against Denmark and 29% in their 1-1 draw with Serbia. I expect them to have a similar number on Tuesday night. The longer they can keep themselves in the clash, the better chance they have of earning a much-needed result.

Benjamin Sesko is their star. The RB Leipzig man hasn’t scored in Germany so far. He’s a unit and will use his height as an advantage.

Tip:

England Win & Under 3.5 Goals

Best Odd

1.95

Brand

Max. Bonus

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With international encounters played far less than club football, statistics and form are rarely consistent. England has won five of the six meetings between the two. They’re big favourites to end Slovenia’s unbeaten streak.

Here are three interesting stats ahead of this Euro 2024 match between England vs Slovenia.

Our Betting Tip for Today

After analysing this encounter, there are two angles I’ve decided to consider. I’m expecting England to win this match. They’re not an exciting side to watch. A low scoring affair is expected once again.

Despite all the negativity around England, they’re a side that is usually reliable in matches like this. Gareth Southgate’s men are priced at 1.33 to win this encounter. It’s short but understandable, given the gulf in class.

England will always be tough to beat. Serbia accumulated just six shots and 0.18xG in their opening-round clash. Kasper Hjulmand’s men had 16 shots in their 1-1 draw. Despite that, they totalled just 0.82xG. Morten Hjulmand scored an absolute screamer. It was a moment of magic.

Under 3.5 Goals is my second part of this selection. I’m struggling to see four or more goals scored. A win here guarantees that they finish in the top spot. England will dominate possession and limit Slovenia to minimal chances. Matjaz Kek’s men will respect their opponents.

Our bet has a handful of scorelines in our favour. England can win 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 or 2-1. They are the four most likely score lines from a price perspective. England Win & Under 3.5 Goals is my selection for this encounter at 1.95 (20/21).

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