Premier League Relegation Betting Tips

As usual, the promoted sides occupy the shortest prices in the relegation market, with Hull City, Coventry City and Ipswich Town all expected to face a battle for survival.

After all three newcomers went straight back down in both 2023/24 and 2024/25, Leeds and Sunderland comfortably bucked that trend last term, with only Burnley suffering an immediate return to the Championship.

Tipster Ben Smith has taken a closer look at the three sides promoted this time around, along with the two teams that join them as the five shortest-priced candidates for relegation in May.

These football betting tips feature odds from BetMGM.

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Hull City (5/19)

Hull defied their underlying numbers last season, finishing sixth in the Championship despite the xG table suggesting they were only the 18th-best team in the division.

There is little to suggest they are equipped to compete at this level, which explains their incredibly short price for relegation.

Despite reaching double figures for summer signings, the Tigers still lack convincing options at centre-forward and also look short at full-back.

The odds are far too short for me to recommend Hull as a bet, but it would be a major surprise if they were still in the Premier League next season.

Ipswich Town (11/17)

Kieran McKenna stepped down as Ipswich manager over the summer, and the man in the dugout, Gary O'Neil, is not the only thing different about their latest crack at the top flight.

In 2024, ahead of their first Premier League campaign since 2001/02, Ipswich largely recruited players who had impressed at the top end of the Championship. This time, they have gone bigger, adding proven Premier League quality and a blend of youth and experience.

O'Neil has the battling qualities and tactical intelligence required to keep a side in the division, and with a stronger squad at his disposal, I certainly wouldn't be backing the Tractor Boys for relegation at odds-on.

Coventry City (11/17)

Coventry and Frank Lampard have proved to be an ideal match. The Sky Blues endured some torrid times after dropping out of the Premier League in 2001, while Lampard arrived in the West Midlands with his managerial reputation in need of rebuilding.

Less than two years later, Coventry are back in the top flight after a 25-year absence and Lampard's coaching career has been completely revitalised. Few appointments in recent years have worked out quite so well for both parties.

Still, Coventry's squad is short on Premier League experience. They have spent money this summer, but much of it has gone on younger players, which raises questions over how well equipped they are to succeed in the here and now.

That said, the arrival of Taiwo Awoniyi this week looks a smart piece of business. He reached double figures for goals when he was first choice up front for Nottingham Forest in the Premier League and will also give Coventry some much-needed presence at the top end of the pitch.

There is a wide range of potential outcomes for Coventry this season, and I would rather stay away than back them at odds-on for relegation.

Sunderland (3/1)

Second-season syndrome and the difficulties of juggling Thursday-Sunday football may be cliches, but there is plenty of truth behind both.

Sunderland remarkably finished seventh last season despite their data suggesting they performed more like a relegation-level side. Overperformance on that scale can happen across one campaign, but replicating it is extremely difficult.

Their squad doesn't look any stronger this time around, which is a concern with Europa League commitments now added to the schedule. The Black Cats scored just 42 Premier League goals last season - fewer than relegated West Ham - and there is little to suggest that attacking output will improve significantly.

With regression likely and a much more demanding fixture list to contend with, plenty points towards a difficult year for Sunderland.

Fulham (11/2)

Fulham had it seriously good under Marco Silva. He guided them back to the Premier League with a remarkable 106-goal campaign before immediately establishing the Cottagers as a stable top-flight club, overseeing finishes of 10th, 13th, 11th and 11th while playing attractive football along the way.

It is therefore no surprise that his departure has left some onlookers worried about Fulham's prospects this season. Alvaro Arbeloa is largely unproven at senior level, with only a brief spell in charge of Real Madrid out of necessity on his managerial CV to date.

My sense is that Fulham will just about have enough to stay clear of trouble, but life after Silva may not be entirely plain sailing.

Our Tip: Sunderland (3/1)

The case for Sunderland is fairly straightforward. They were already rated as one of the Premier League's bottom-three sides by the data last season, yet defied those numbers to qualify for Europe.

While that will be a fantastic adventure for the club and the supporters, the additional demands of Europa League football are unlikely to do their domestic prospects any favours.

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