Nottingham Forest – Newcastle United
Tip:
Over: 2.53.0 goal line
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Saturday Evening's live Sky Sports fixture comes from the City Ground as relegation battling Nottingham Forest host European chasing Newcastle United. The Magpies will be keen to inflict revenge on Nottingham Forest as a Chris Wood hat-trick saw the Reds run out unlikely 1-3 winners on Boxing Day. This article will provide a match preview as well as prediction and best bets.
Forest Still Battling For Survival
Sitting just two points clear of the relegation zone, Nottingham Forest have 15 crucial games left to save their season - starting on Saturday.
With Steve Cooper falling short of expectations and failing to gel and make a bloated squad cohesive, he was sacked and replaced by former Wolves and Tottenham manager Nuno Espírito Santo.
In his opening six games, his side have picked up five points - beating Manchester United and Newcastle, as well as holding Bournemouth to a draw at the Vitality. Untypical of a Nuno side, Forest games have been high-scoring with BTTS landing in all six league games, with his short tenure seeing an average of 3.66 goals per game.
With their next five games coming against sides in the top 9, Forest will need as many points as they can get, before traveling to face Luton in March.
Inconsistent Toon
After a historic campaign that saw them finish fourth last season, Newcastle have had a disappointing season for their now high standards. Dumped out of Europe in the group stages and just two points clear of the bottom half, things haven't gone quite to plan on Tyneside.
Their last five league games have typified them this season, with their performances littered with inconsistency. After their 1-0 loss to Luton at Kenilworth Road, Newcastle lost three games in a row to Nottingham Forest (1-3), Liverpool (4-2), and Manchester City (2-3).
A 1-3 victory to end Aston Villa's historic home unbeaten run seemed to halt fears of a downward spiral, before a topsy-turvy 4-4 home draw with Luton left more questions unanswered.
While Europe is still within touching distance (2 points), Eddie Howe will be keen to ensure his side restore clarity and find form in the latter stage of the season.
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest's 3-1 victory at St James Park was revenge for Newcastle doing the double over the Reds last season.
The sides have met 115 times in history, with Newcastle wining 53, Forest winning 35 and 27 ending in a draw.
Interestingly, there has not been a draw between the sides in the last 14 meetings, with the last draw being a 0-0 in 1996.
Tip:
Over 2.5 3.0 goal line
Brand
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Looking back at previous H2Hs between the sides, the meetings are surprisingly tetchy, with cards dished out regularly. One side typically tends to dominate, with one side scoring 2+ in the last nine games.
Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle United
High-scoring winners
One team has scored at least two goals in the last nine meetings
Feisty Affairs
The last seven meetings have seen an average of 5.7 cards
Goals Galore
The last six games for these sides have seen an average of 4.1 games
Our Betting Tip for Today: Over 2.5 3.0 goal line
With both teams plagued by inconsistency this season, this game is very hard to call. One thing that has been consistent in recent weeks is goals.
Five of Nottingham Forest's last six games have seen over 2.5 goals, with 13/23 (57%) of their games seeing over 2.5 goals.
Eight of Newcastle's last nine league games have seen over 2.5 goals - the exception being a 1-o loss to Luton. 16 of Newcastle's 23 games this season have ended with three or more goals, with their games averaging 3.69 goals per game.
In a match I expect to be open and end-to-end, I am leaning towards a high-score draw.
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