
Two in-form sides meet in Sunday’s Gold Cup quarter final as unbeaten Guatemala and Jamaica lock horns in Cincinnati. Both sides emerged from their respective groups with seven points from three games and will go into the clash full of confidence.
Finishing top of a group containing a highly fancied Canada squad, was an excellent achievement for the young Guatemala team. Victories by the odd goal against Guadeloupe and Cuba, plus a solid 0-0 against Canada, saw them top Group D.
Key to success for Guatemala is Real Salt Lake striker Rubio Rubin, who scored twice in the 3-2 victory over Guadeloupe and has five in 12 games since switching allegiance from the US.
A highly creditable 1-1 draw with the United States, was followed by two resounding victories, as Jamaica wracked up an impressive 10 goals to finish second in Group A. Remarkably, there have been nine different Jamaican scorers so far, with only Everton’s Demerai Gray finding the net twice.
Gray is just one of the star names that Reggae Boys manager Heimir Hallgrímsson can call on. He also has Premier League stars Leon Bailey and Michail Antonio to call on, as well as a host of players who ply their trade in the English Championship.
The two sides have met on 16 previous occasions, with Jamaica leading the head to head by 10 victories to three. The recent head to head is even more lopsided, with Jamaica winning six of the last 7 meetings. Although they did lose 2-1 the last time the sides met, back in 2012.
The last time the teams met in the Gold Cup was in 2011, and Jamaica have won all four times the sides have met in the competition.
Despite the two sides meeting 16 times previously, recent games between Guatemala and Jamaica have been rare. With that in mind, our statistical highlights look at the recent form of the two sides and highlight any patterns that could provide betting indicators.
The bookies have Jamaica as clear favourites, with Guatemala as long as 4/1 to win in 90 minutes. The bookies have clearly taken note of Jamaica’s excellent group stage form and expect them to carry that into the knockouts. Indeed, the Reggae Boys are third favourites (behind Mexico and the US) to win the entire competition.
We predict this to be the most exciting of the quarter finals. Both teams have goals in them, but the Jamaicans look a class above in terms of their attacking personnel. It is hard to see Guatemala keeping them at bay for 90 minutes, but equally, we think that Jamaica could experience a few uncomfortable moments at the other end of the pitch.
Based on those factors, we are going to tip a win for Jamaica within 90 minutes, with both teams scoring at least once. The best price for this selection is 10/3 at Coral.
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