Key Points
- Today’s betting tip will improve for his reappearance run
- He is a proven course and distance winner
- This horse faces rivals with questions to answer
A new week, and my first free betting tip! We enjoyed a profitable Lucky 15 on Saturday with Javert Allen and Coul Angel both winning, and we were unfortunate not to get a result with Lihyan, who was given a poor ride. But onwards and upwards as we kick the week off with a trip to Bangor-On-Dee.
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Betting advice
- 15:35 Bangor-On-Dee -
Static
- @ 5/1 -
1pt Win
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best horse racing odds
of 5/1 for Static to win are only available at bet365! As well as industry-leading odds, bet365 also has a fantastic welcome bonus available. If you bet £10, and you’ll get a £30 of free bets. If you don’t already have an account at bet365, now is a really good time to change that!
Static could be electric from the front!
When it comes to a front runner, you know you'll get a run for your money, and that should be the case with Static today. There are more reasons than that to back him though, and in the rest of this article, I’ll go through them with you.
Static will improve for his reappearance run
After a break of 154 days, Static had every right to need his reappearance run at Uttoxeter last month. However, he was only worn down after the last, so it was an excellent effort. Given that jockey Theo Gillard dropped his whip on the run in, yet the pair still pulled clear of the third-placed horse, I think that run deserves plenty of credit.
There is every chance that Static has improved for that Uttoxeter run fitness-wise. If so, he will take some pegging back from the front today, especially if he is allowed an easy lead. Charisma Cat likes to race prominently, but he's running straight off the back of a break and is unlikely to fight too hard for the lead. The rest of the field are horses who either sit midfield, or get held up at the back, so Static can potentially get an easy lead in front here.
Static is a proven course and distance winner
Charisma Cat, Good To Be Alive, and The Cistercian have never raced at Bangor-On-Dee before. Brookside La has run here twice, around this time last year. However, he was beaten by 21 lengths and 34 lengths in his two Novice Hurdles races, producing RPRs of just 93 and 86 .
In complete contrast, Static has only had one run here, it was over today's distance, and he won. A such, he has the advantage of being proven here at Bangor-On-Dee over this trip. Interestingly that run was off a mark of 121, just 1lb lower than the mark he runs off today. Fortunately the handicapper left his mark untouched, despite his fantastic second place last time out. He took the scalp of two Dan Skelton runners that day, and hopefully he can add another to his collection today.
Static faces opposition with questions to answer
Thanks to Static's reappearance run at Uttoxeter last month we know he’ll be coming here as fit as a flea. Brookside La also comes here with race fitness on his side, having won at Worcester last month. However, the latter has been hiked up 9lb for that win, from a mark of 110 to 119. This is also a hefty step up in class for him, as he is moving from Class 4 to Class 2 company. While the top-rated Good To Be Alive has a handicap mark of 133, this is a much tougher race than he has faced before, and it's also his first run this season.
Charisma Cat, and The Cistercian also make their seasonal reappearances here. As such, they need to prove they are fit and ready to perform first time. In fairness to Charisma Cat, he can run well when fresh, but his peak efforts came in the Spring last season. The Cistercian won after a 93-day break last year, but he needs to overcome a much longer absence this time. Lastly, Good To Be Alive improved with each run last season, so he may be one to consider further into his campaign.
Can Static go one better than at Uttoxeter?
With a solid reappearance run, and improvement expected, Static must have a fantastic chance here. Especially so as the handicapper has left his mark alone. The fact that he is proven over course and distance off a mark just 1lb lower mark than his current one also bodes well. He looks likely to get an easy lead, which will suit his front running style, and the current Good going at Bangor-On-Dee will be to his liking too.
In terms of negatives, we are gambling on him improving for that last run, and there is no guarantee that he will. We also take on Brookside La for the Skelton team, who have been pretty unstoppable so far this season. Brookside La looked fantastic when winning by nine lengths last time, and we could be facing a highly progressive rival here. Also while I think Static could get a free ticket to the front, there are no guarantees concerning the tactics each of the jockeys will adopt today.
All aspects considered, I think Static is underestimated at 5/1 and he is well worth a bet. Given the negatives highlighted, I won’t be getting carried away here, so it’ll just be a 1pt Win. Given a field of eight or more runners, I’d play each way, but with just the five going to post and only two places being paid, it has to be on the nose for me.
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