Tip:
Hungary +0.25 Asian handicap
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Hungary and Switzerland kick off day two of Euro 2024 and both will feel they have a strong chance of reaching the knockout phase of the competition. The Swiss are the favourites to get their first points on the board on Saturday afternoon.
Hungarians hard to beat
Until their last-gasp defeat by Ireland in a warm-up friendly a week ago, Hungary were unbeaten since September 2022. Marco Rossi’s side had qualification wrapped up with a game to spare and look well-equipped to continue that momentum into the tournament finals. Star player Dominik Szoboszlai missed Euro 2020 through injury but having registered five goals in his last seven appearances for the national team, the Liverpool midfielder is ready to lead Hungary to what they hope is at least a last 16 berth.
Results don’t tell whole Swiss story
Switzerland’s qualifying form doesn’t make for pretty reading but the performances - albeit in a poor group - probably warranted more than the 17 points they amassed from 10 games. Though they drew five of their fixtures, Die Nati won the xG battle in each of those and can point to a combination of late lapses in concentration along with uncharacteristic poor goalkeeping from Yan Sommer as the main reasons that Romania finished top. The Swiss have progressed through the groups in their last five major tournaments, and possess the knowhow and quality to keep that run going.
Hungarian dominance a thing of the past
History is on Hungary’s side in the head-to-head between the teams, with the two-time World Cup runners-up boasting 30 wins against just five losses and 11 draws against the Swiss. A remarkable four-decade winning run from the 1940s through the 1970s laid the foundations for that record, but more recent meetings have tended to go the way of Switzerland.
The pair were drawn together in the qualifying stages of the 2018 FIFA World Cup, and both were exciting affairs as Die Nati ran out 3-2 winners in Budapest, and 5-2 victors in Basel.
Among those with happy memories from those match-ups are Ricardo Rodriguez and Grant Xhaka, both of whom were on the scoresheet against Hungary during that campaign and are set to start on Saturday.
Tip:
Hungary +0.25 Asian handicap
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The opening group games of tournaments - particularly those without an odds-on favourite - tend to be cagey, with defeat far more damaging than a draw for both sides. Hungary have proven themselves to be a tough nut to crack and can put themselves in a position where victory over Scotland in the next game would all but guarantee a spot in the last 16.
Hungary vs. Switzerland
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Hungary's 14-game undefeated streak was ended by Ireland last week.
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Switzerland have kept just one clean sheet in their last eight competitive outings.
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12 goals were scored across the two fixtures when these teams met in the 2018 FIFA World Cup qualifiers.
Our Betting Tip for Today
In a game where so few goals are expected, an interesting angle is often to get the underdogs on side via the Asian handicap. With Hungary getting a quarter-goal head start here, this fixture is no exception.
Hungary to show why they belong
This is Hungary’s third European Championship finals appearance on the bounce and after the disappointment of being dumped out in the groups last time around, they will fancy their chances a lot more on this occasion.
It was an almost impossible task at Euro 2020 as they were drawn with Portugal, France and Germany. Still, even without Szoboszlai, Hungary made life difficult for all three opponents and were only beaten once thanks to a late Portuguese flurry.
The team’s personnel has changed quite a bit since then but its spirit has not. Yes, their unbeaten run was brought to an end in Dublin, but every Hungarian player was in Irish territory for a stoppage time corner and they were caught on the break. That is surely not a mistake they will make in competitive action.
Switzerland are better than their qualifying results suggest, but not good enough to justify such heavy favouritism here. A well-drilled, talented Hungary outfit can take at least a point off of them, and we’re hoping for victory so that we can receive the full payout.
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