Italy vs Albania - 15/06/2024 - Match Preview & Betting Predictions

Italy – Albania

Tip:

Italy Win & Under 3.5 Goals

1.91

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Home Win 1

71.4%

1.40

Draw X

20.4%

4.90

Away Win 2

10.5%

9.50

Defending champions Italy face Albania at Signal Iduna Park

Current holders Italy are back to defend their crown. It’s a must-win for Spaletti’s men given the difficulty of Group B. Albania has a massive task ahead of them in Germany.

Italy are 6th favourites to win Euro 2024. They’re a side that hasn’t been discussed much in the outright market. Group B contains Spain, Croatia and Albania. That’s not straightforward.

The Italian squad has fantastic players, and there’s no doubt about it. However, I believe it lacks a superstar. Italy will be tough to break down, but I expect them to struggle against tough opposition.

Gli Azzurri has played four times in 2024. They’ve won three encounters with a 0-0 draw against Turkey. Matches involving Italy may not be full of goals. Tight and cagey affairs could be likely as they look to navigate their way into the knockout stages.

Can Albania do the unthinkable? Sylvinho’s men will be almighty underdogs in all three clashes in Germany. That won't bother them. Albania will be desperate to make a statement. Group B's outsiders conceded just four times in qualification as they topped their group. The Albanian squad is full of experienced players. Can they cope with the superior footballing nations?

'The Red and Blacks' were defeated by Chile and Sweden in March. They defeated Liechtenstein and Azerbaijan in recent weeks. Those results make it tricky to take anything from those matches.

A positive result will be vital here. The underdogs are priced at 4.33 to qualify, a massive 26.00 to win Group B. Pressure is firmly off them. Could that be a positive for Albania?

Continuing That Winning Streak

These two nations have met four times across the last ten years. Italy have won each encounter, with the recent clash arriving in 2022. Giovanni Di Lorenzo’s equaliser and a Vincenzo Grifo brace turned the game around after Ardian Ismajili’s early opener.

Italy and Albania met twice in 2017 as they found each other in the same World Cup Qualification group. Gli Azzurri won 2-0 and 1-0 in Palermo and Shkoder, respectively.

The Italians will be eager to continue their 100% winning streak over Albania. That 3-1 victory in Tirana will provide them with confidence.

Tip:

Italy Win & Under 3.5 Goals

Best Odd

1.91

Brand

Max. Bonus

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With international encounters played far less than club football, statistics and form are rarely consistent. H2H matches give a little indication, but we must account for how long ago the recent encounter was.

Despite that, here are three interesting stats ahead of this Euro 2024 match between Italy vs Albania.

Our Betting Tip for Today

Italy is deserving favourites against Albania. I believe this won’t be an easy fixture for Spalleti’s men. I expect them to edge the contest at the magnificent Signal Iduna Park.

I expect this to be a tight and quite possibly dull affair. Albania knows that they’re going to be up against it. Group B is full of quality and experience. Italy must claim a victory here. They won’t care how they win on the night.

The 1.40 price on an Italy win is short, but one we should expect given the quality of the squad. Gli Azzurri are the current holders; we can’t underestimate that.

Albania will fight. They won’t allow anyone to bulldoze past them. It’s a nation with many playing their trade in Europe’s top leagues. Defending will be their main priority. These factors lead me to believe that we won’t see many goals.

Spalleti has a squad more than capable of winning here. They’re a side that can restrict opponents very well. It’s no guarantee that they’ll concede in this encounter. Scamacca, Chiesa and Retegui all pose a threat in attack.

A low-scoring Italian victory is how I see this game ending. We can combine Italy & Under 3.5 Goals at an appealing price of 10/11 (1.91).

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