The final day for the 2019/20 Premier League is almost upon us, after a longer wait than any of us could ever have expected. For this week’s expert tips, we’re turning our attention to the showpiece event in the Midlands, as Leiecester host Manchester United at the King Power Stadium in the final battle for those Champions League places. Our experts here at Betting.co.uk will be providing you with our top betting tips for this one, based on stats analysis and the high stakes the occasion brings.
When football restarted back in March following the 3 month enforced break, no one would’ve imagined that Leicester would find themselves in this position. The Foxes were sitting pretty in 3rd place but a string of bad results since June have seen them slump down to 5th place, with the prospect of a 4th place finish not entirely in their own hands going into the final day. Most of their key players are fit, including Ayoze Perez, Jamie Vardy and Wilfred Ndidi, they’ve just been underperforming as a squad since the restart.
Despite crashing out of the FA Cup against Chelsea at the weekend, and drawing at home to West Ham midweek, Man United are still very much the more in form team going into the final match day. They’re the only team to be undefeated since the restart and will be confident of keeping the record intact at the King Power on Sunday. The Red Devil’s quintet of attacking prowess are all fit to start, so we can expect a front 3 of Martial, Greenwood and Rashford to be supplied by Fernandes and Pogba in midfield.
Historically this fixture hasn’t been kind to the Foxes. Since their return to the Premier League in 2014, they have only beaten United once – a thrilling 5-3 win over Louis van Gaal’s side in their first season back. United have won 7 of their last 8 against Leicester, with the last 2 meetings ending in 1-0 victories, so we can expect a low scoring affair, meaning a bet of -1.5 goals to be scored isn’t a bad shout.
United’s free scoring form that marked the early stages of the restart seems to have halted somewhat, as they’ve only scored once in each of their last 2 outings. Leicester’s goal scoring form since the restart hasn’t really existed, so it looks like this may not be the high scoring affair that we might have hoped for on such an occasion. We expect Man United to edge it, but probably only by a single goal, which can be placed on odds of 3.25 with Bet365
Feels unfair to mention it, given the wonders Brendan Rogers has worked at Leicester since taking over at the King Power Stadium in February of last year, but the Northern Irishman does have experience when it comes to end of season heartache in the Premier League. History does, unfortunately, look set to repeat itself, albeit slightly further down the table and in Blue shirts rather than Red.
It’s not that the Foxes don’t have the talent, it’s just that as a squad they haven’t shown enough to make us believe they can pull out all the stops against a fiery United side on the final day. Combine that with their poor record against the Reds the prevailing logic suggests a Leicester loss on Sunday and Thursday night football in Europe next season.
It’s disappointing because of the standards they set for themselves this season before the global pandemic halt, but it shouldn’t be forgotten this will still be Leicester’s best finish since their shock title win in 2016.
Our betting tip for this one is a Manchester United win + both teams to score. Recently this hasn’t been a high scoring fixture, and that’s a trend that could very well continue. United should have what it takes to take the victory here, however the Foxes surely won’t go down without a fight, so we’re backing Jamie Vardy or someone else in Blue to get on the scoresheet. Our betting tip can be placed with Bet365 who are offering generous odds of 4.33 on our prediction.