Manchester City welcome Arsenal to the Eithad Stadium on Wednesday, as the Premier League resumes action with these two teams hunting for a top-four finish. Gunners gaffer Mikel Arteta is also set to go head-to-head with his old boss and mentor Pep Guardiola, something that adds a little extra spice to the fixture. There is plenty on the line for both teams in this game, so read on to see where we think you can find the best betting value!
Pep Guardiola’s City team are in second place in the Premier League, 25 points behind leaders Liverpool. While their chances of defending their title have gone, City will be keen to hang on to second place. They have a game in hand on third-placed Leicester City, who have 53 points, four less than Guardiola’s men. That gap is not big enough for the Mancunians to be resting on their laurels just yet, and City will want to win this game and make a statement to their rivals in the process. But their home form is an issue – City have not won in four of their 13 home games this season.
Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal side head into this game with recent history against them. The Gunners have lost their last six matches in all competitions against City, a record they will need to amend on Wednesday if they are serious about finishing in the top four of the Premier League this season. Their away form before the league was suspended was good. The north Londoners are unbeaten in their last seven away league matches, though they have won only one of those games. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is one goal away from 50 Premier League goals. If you think he will score at any time in the game on Wednesday, Dafabet have a price of 17/10 on offer.
City certainly have the edge when it comes to recent history between the teams. Guardiola’s men are on their best ever winning streak against the Gunners, having won their last six matches in all competitions. In total, there have been 45 Premier League meetings between the teams, with City having won just 12 of those, however, with eight of those victories coming at home. Arsenal have beaten City 23 times in the Premier League in total, with 11 of those victories coming away from home. There have been 10 draws.
Arsenal have a good goalscoring record when it comes to playing away at City. They have scored on their last seven visits to the Etihad. Under Arteta, the Gunners also tend to score goals away from home. They have only failed to score in one game on their travels since the Basque took charge of them. In fact, goals look likely on Wednesday evening, with City having scored three against the Gunners in five of the last six meetings. City’s attacking options will also be boosted this week by the return from injury of Leroy Sane, so Arsenal’s defence will need to be on their game.
One man to keep an eye on is, of course, City striker Sergio Aguero. The Argentine has scored 10 goals in his last 12 appearances against Arsenal in all competitions. Last season at the Etihad in this fixture he scored a hat trick. Dafabet have priced him at 23/10 to score first in this match. He is 7/1 with the same bookie to repeat his feat from last season and slot a hat trick.
Many of the goals in recent fixtures between these two sides have come in the first half. In the reverse fixture earlier this season, City were up 3-0 at half-time. That remained the scoreline until the final whistle. In the last four Premier League meetings between the teams, City have scored 11 goals in total, and nine of those have come before the break. One way or another, goals look likely on Wednesday evening.
Our prediction for this game is that City will win but both teams will score. We would not be surprised to see five or more goals scored in the game either, given how rusty each side’s defensive organisation is likely to be after three months off. So our recommended tip, courtesy of Dafabet, is to back City to win and both teams to score at odds of 7/5. We strongly suspect that this will be a very entertaining game indeed to watch, though some of the defending may have the respective coaches tearing out their hair.