Newcastle United – Arsenal
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Intro
Newcastle welcome Arsenal to St James' Park on Saturday afternoon where both sides will be looking to get back on track after failing to win last weekend. Is time running out for Eddie Howe?
Midweek win masking issues
Newcastle's 2-0 win against Chelsea in the EFL Cup was most welcome, but they remain winless in their last five Premier League matches. Back-to-back defeats against Chelsea and Brighton have seen Newcastle fall to 12th, way off where the club wants to be at this stage of the season.
At home is where they have performed best, beating Spurs and drawing with Man City, but the visit of Arsenal potentially brings about another challenge. Howe will be feeling the pressure, and with England appointing Thomas Tuchel, there's no other route out of the club at present. It's time to start adding some points to the board before it's too late.
Falling behind Man City already
After nine matches, Arsenal are five points behind Man City. As we've learned in recent years, that is already a sizeable gap and Mikel Arteta's men can't afford too many more slip ups if they are to challenge for the title.
The Gunners head into this fixture winless in their last two Premier League matches, falling short on the south coast against Bournemouth, before drawing with title contenders Liverpool at the Emirates. Arsenal lost when they last visited St James' Park, but that simply isn't an option if they are to de-thrown Man City come May.
Tight tussle on Tyneside
Without sounding like a football manager on the verge of being sacked, this fixture has often come down to fine margins in recent years. In fact, the last five head-to-head meetings up North has seen both teams to score no land.
It's advantage Arsenal, who have won three of the last five visits, although the most recent in 2023 saw Jorginho tee up Martin Odegaard for the opener. The Italian isn't currently preferred by Arteta, while Arsenal's captain and goalscorer that day remains on the treatment table.
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All five of those last meetings have seen under 2.5 goals, with two seeing just one goal (Newcastle's 1-0 win last season). The hosts have found it tough in front of goal, too, scoring just three goals in their last five Premier League games.
However, Alexander Isak has scored in his last two matches, having only just returned from a short term injury, and the Swedish forward will be key to unlocking Arsenal's defence which has been rather leaky of late.
Arsenal have produced 11 in their last five, but they've also conceded nine - the return of William Saliba after his suspension may be key on Saturday afternoon.
Newcastle United vs. Arsenal
1
Three of Arsenal's last five away Premier League matches have been 0-0 at HT.
2
Newcastle have only scored three goals in their last five Premier League games.
3
This fixture has been 0-0 at HT in three of the last five meetings.
Our Betting Tip for Today
With both teams desperate for points, but neither not being able to afford any more slip ups, this match may be a slow burner - but one that has the potential to spring into life.
Pressure is firmly on both camps, but perhaps more Eddie Howe and his team due to their poor start this campaign. Without a win since their 2-1 comeback against Wolves, it hasn't been great viewing for their fans.
They huffed and puffed against Brighton the last time they played at home, yet despite double the shots, corners and xG, Danny Welbeck's strike saw them leave with all three points.
That was, however, their first loss of the season at home where they've actually been rather strong. Goals have come early at St James' Park, but Howe can't afford for his team to go all out and fall behind - there were harsh lessons from the Brighton match that need to be factored in.
Arteta will want his side to sure up defensively, too. They've been rather good at doing that against Newcastle in recent years, and they too will have learned plenty from their 2-2 draw with Liverpool.
Three of their last five away matches in the Premier League have seen Arsenal drawing at half-time, and this early kick-off on Saturday could be no different. It may be a tail of two halves, with the game opening up in the second 45, but a more conservative approach from both sides is expected.
With that in mind, we're looking to keep our hot streak going and we're siding with the half-time draw at a rather generous 5/4 with bet365. Good luck to all that choose to follow.
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