Newcastle United – Chelsea
Tip:
u16.5 Newcastle shots, under 8 Newcastle corners, over 11.5 Chelsea tackles, Madueke shot
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The race for a top-five finish is set to heat up this weekend, as Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest both play on Saturday, while the two sides currently occupying fourth and fifth lock horns on Sunday.
Home Form Keeping Toon in Position
Newcastle United have won their last five home league games. Victory in their final two fixtures at St James’ Park would almost certainly be enough to secure a place in next season’s Champions League.
The Magpies won’t want to go into next week’s trip to Arsenal desperately needing a result, as they have only triumphed once on the road this season against top-half opposition.
It took an 89th-minute penalty for Newcastle to earn a point at Brighton a week ago. Alexander Isak converted from the spot to net his 23rd of the campaign, two more than Erling Haaland and five behind top scorer Mohamed Salah.
Blues Finishing the Season Strong
Chelsea are hitting form at the right time. They are on a run of five consecutive victories in all competitions, leaving them in a strong position domestically as well as progressing to the final of the UEFA Conference League.
They do, however, have the most difficult run-in of any of the teams vying for the top five. After the clash with Newcastle, they host Manchester United, before then taking part in a potential ‘win-and-in’ showdown at Forest on the final day.
The stoppage time winner at Fulham last month marked Chelsea’s first away league success in nine. The highest-ranked team they have avoided defeat against on their travels is eighth-placed Bournemouth.
Home Advantage
Newcastle’s last victory at Chelsea occurred in 2012, when Papiss Cisse fired in two stunners to end a 25-year wait for a league win in SW6.
While the Magpies have only taken one point from Stamford Bridge in 12 visits since, their home form against the Blues has taken a turn for the better.
The last dozen head-to-heads at St James’ Park in all competitions have brought eight Newcastle victories, with Chelsea prevailing just three times.
When the sides met in the league last term, Eddie Howe’s side wiped the floor with the West London outfit, winning 4-1.
Newcastle also beat Chelsea en route to their Carabao Cup success this season.
Tip:
u16.5 Newcastle shots, under 8 Newcastle corners, over 11.5 Chelsea tackles, Madueke shot
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Newcastle vs Chelsea used to be a relatively low-scoring fixture, but that has changed in recent years.
The Blues may find it difficult to overcome their road struggles against one of the better home sides in the league.
Newcastle United vs. Chelsea
1
Both teams have scored in each of the last four league H2Hs, after the previous seven meetings saw either side win to nil.
2
Only Liverpool (14) and Manchester City (12) have won more home games than Newcastle (11) this season.
3
Alexander Isak has scored five in five at St James’ Park.
Our Betting Tip for Today
The best bet for this fixture is a bet builder including under 16.5 shots for Newcastle, under 8 corners for Newcastle, over 11.5 tackles for Chelsea, and a Noni Madueke shot.
Blues to Prevent Onslaught
Chelsea have had more bad away results than good ones this season, but that is not because their goal is constantly under siege.
The Blues allow an average of 10.76 shots per game on the road, and have only once offered up more than 15 attempts on goal. That was at Bournemouth in September.
Home sides struggle to run up a big corner count against the travelling Blues, too. Chelsea average 3.82 corners conceded away from home, with no team mustering more than six.
Their tackle count has dipped in their last two away trips, but they average 14.94 per away game, while Newcastle are dispossessed 19.13 times per fixture at home. Over 11.5 tackles has landed for Chelsea in visits to all other top-seven sides.
The final selection is a Noni Madueke shot. Only early withdrawals have seen him blank this term, and that is what Sub On Play On is there for.
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