Romania – Netherlands

Tip:

Netherlands to win, Gakpo shot on target and over 1.5 match goals

6/5

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Intro

After a statement 3-0 victory against Ukraine in their opening group game, Romania have failed to impress since. A 2-0 defeat to Belgium was perhaps expected, before a 1-1 draw with Slovakia wasn't the most glamorous of fixtures at this tournament. Still, they finished top of Group E, ahead of Belgium, and the Netherlands await.

However, although the Romanians were quick out of the blocks, it's been uninspiring ever since and they'll need to remotivate themselves if they are to progress to the quarter-final stage.

Similar to Romania, the Netherlands began their group with a good start, securing a 2-1 victory over Poland, before holding the reigning champions 0-0 in round two. An enthralling game vs Austria saw them come undone 3-2, which allowed their final opponents to top the group.

Still, the Dutch haven't done much wrong so far and they will feel confident with the draw. If they can iron out a few defensive issues, their attack will look to hurt Romania and take advantage of their "generous" round of 16 tie.

Further Analysis: Dutch into the quarters

Dutch fans will head into this tie confident their team can continue their Euro 2024 journey. Having won four of the last five head-to-head matches between 2007-2017, there has been a real dominance from the nation sporting orange.

The Netherlands have only lost two of their last ten matches, against Germany and Austria, proving a very difficult side to beat without many considering them for success at the start of the tournament.

Goals haven't been an issue and if that trend continues, they should have enough to get past Romania.

Tip:

Netherlands to win, Gakpo shot on target and over 1.5 match goals

Best Odd

6/5

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Having topped their group, Romania, although the underdogs, will prefer it that way. No one expected them to hammer Ukraine, yet they dominated the match and were lethal in front of goal. Likely to have less chances against the Dutch, they'll need to take anything which falls their way.

Also having lost just two of their last ten, Romania can be resilient defensively. However, draws vs Northern Ireland, Bulgaria and Liechtenstein are concerning.

Our Betting Tip for Today

This is when the tournament gets serious and it is difficult to see the Dutch bowing at at this stage of the tournament, despite the fact Romania won their group.

The Netherlands defeat to Austria may result in certain bettors being slightly more sceptical about their tie vs Romania, but Austria look to be one of the dark horses in Germany. The match could have swung either way, and if the Dutch had held on to a point, we may have seen their price even shorter to beat Romania on Tuesday evening.

Romania's performances against Slovakia and Belgium won't concern the Dutch at all. With the likes of Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay looking dangerous in attack, both should find plenty of space in behind Romania's defence.

If they can defensively sort themselves out and approach the game the same way they did when they kept France at bay, the Dutch should be strong enough to stroll into the quarter-finals.

The Euros has delivered more goals than the average punter expected, and once again, I'm expecting this match to be no different.

Romania may tire as the Dutch dictate the pace and control possession, and with that in mind I'm siding with the Netherlands to win, Gakpo over 0.5 shots on target and over 1.5 match goals at 6/5 with bet365.

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