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All eyes will be on the Adjarabet Arena in Batumi this Saturday, as Spain and England lock horns in the final of the 2023 Under 21 European Championships. Both sides are unbeaten in the competition and come into the game after resounding victories in their semi final matchups.
Five consecutive clean sheets have seen England cruise into Saturday’s final. The last of those victories was Wednesday's comfortable three nil success over Israel, a game in which the Three Lions dominated and should perhaps have won by more.
At the other end of the pitch, Cameron Archer, Anthony Gordon and Emile Smith-Rowe have all contributed two goals, whilst Jacob Ramsey and Morgan Gibbs-White have also caught the eye. Saturday will be England’s first appearance in the final since 2009, and a victory would see them lift the trophy for the first time since 1982.
Spain have had a slightly trickier path to the final, but have scored an impressive 13 goals in the process. Manchester City’s Sergio Gomez has been the star of the show so far, with three goals and two assists in the tournament. Striker Abel Ruiz has also found the net three times, and has produced similarly impressive displays.
In defence, Spain have been less impressive. A late equaliser from Switzerland forced their quarter final into extra time, whilst an early Ukraine goal put them behind in Tuesday’s semi final. Victory on Saturday would be Spain’s fourth win in the last seven runnings of the tournament, and their sixth overall success.
Surprisingly, the two sides have not met at under 21 level since the 2011 European Championships. On that occasion, their group game ended in a 1-1 draw (Danny Welbeck and Angel Herrera on the scoresheet), however, Spain did go on to win the competition that year. The sides also met in 2009’s tournament, this time England ran out 2-0 winners en route to the final, thanks to goals from Fraizer Campbell and James Milner.
Those two encounters are the only times the two sides have met at this level.
In putting together our expert betting tip for the game, we took into account a range of relevant statistical information. However, because the two sides have not met for over 10 years, it is important to recognize that these stats may not have a huge bearing on the game. For a more relevant outlook on what could happen on Saturday night, read our above information on metrics from the current Championships.
Our statistical highlights for the game clearly show that this is likely to be a very tight game. Both sides are in good form and evenly matched, so it is hard to see one team running out comfortable winners.
It is extremely difficult to pick a winner here. Even the bookies are struggling to call it, with Spain very slight favourite at 33/20 and England priced at 17/10. Both sides are playing well and whilst Spain appear to have the edge in attack, England’s rock solid defence is unlikely to give too much away.
It is also important to factor in the magnitude of the match. Finals can often be cagey affairs, with neither side wanting to make an error that could jeopardise their chances of lifting the trophy. As such, we are recommending that you take the 11/5 (Coral) on the game finishing all square after 90 minutes. You could even choose to enhance your value by opting for the 19/5 on the game being level at both half time and full time. Either way, we fully expect this to be a game of fine margins, so the value lies in the draw.
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