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Tottenham vs Arsenal - Match Preview and Betting Predictions - Sunday 28th April 2024

Matthew O'Regan

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Football Tipster

Publish Date: 28/04/2024

Fact checked by: James Leeland

Tottenham Hotspur – Arsenal

Tip:

60+ Booking Points

1.80

Current Bonus:

–

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Home Win 1

23.1%

4.33

Draw X

23.8%

4.20

Away Win 2

58.8%

1.70

Sunday marks yet another instalment of the historic North London Derby as Tottenham host Arsenal. Both sides are still fighting for league positions, so we should be in for an intriguing and entertaining affair.

Recent form analysis

Top 4 Ambitions Still Alive

Heading into this game, Tottenham sit just seven points off fourth-place Aston Villa. However, Ange Postecoglu's side have three games in hand on Unai Emery's side, a gap they'll look to shorten with a victory over their bitter rivals.

A 4-0 drubbing at the hands of Newcastle last time out has dampened spirits, but a second-half fight back for Chelsea at Aston Villa has given Spurs fighting hope of Champions League football again, despite having a tough-run in.

Interestingly, Tottenham are yet to draw at home, winning 12 and losing just four of their 16 home games. Spurs fans have certainly been entertained, with their 34 goals scored and 21 conceded at home seeing these games average 3.43 goals.

Table Topping Gunners

After a monumental collapse saw the Gunners throw away the chance for their first league title since 2004 last season, Mikael Arteta is determined to make it stick this year.

His side currently sit one point ahead of treble winners Manchester City, with the Citizens having the advantage of a game in hand. The Gunners kick off before Manchester City so could extend the lead to four points and put real pressure on Pep Guardiola's side.

A lot of Arsenal's success can be attributed to their defensive record, with David Raya keeping a league-high 14 clean sheets. The formidable centre-back partnership of William Saliba and Gabriel with the energetic Declan Rice just in front has given Arsenal a real platform to defend leads.

They have the best away record away from home, having picked up 36 points in 17. A 0-2 loss at home to Aston Villa halted an 11-game unbeaten run in which the Gunners won nine games. However, they followed this up, resounding 0-2 and 5-0 victories over Wolves and Chelsea, respectively.

	Premier League	GP	W	D	L	GF/GA	+/-	PTS	Form
1	Arsenal	15	10	3	2	28:9	19	33
2	Manchester City	15	10	1	4	35:16	19	31
3	Aston Villa	15	9	3	3	22:15	7	30
4	Chelsea	15	7	4	4	25:15	10	25
5	Everton	15	7	3	5	18:17	1	24
6	Crystal Palace	14	6	5	3	18:11	7	23
7	Sunderland AFC	15	6	5	4	18:17	1	23
8	Liverpool	15	7	2	6	24:24	0	23
9	Tottenham Hotspur	15	6	4	5	25:18	7	22
10	Brighton & Hove Albion	14	6	4	4	24:20	4	22
11	Newcastle	15	6	4	5	21:19	2	22
12	Manchester United	14	6	4	4	22:21	1	22
13	Bournemouth	15	5	5	5	21:24	-3	20
14	Brentford	15	6	1	8	21:24	-3	19
15	Fulham	14	5	2	7	19:22	-3	17
16	Leeds United	15	4	3	8	19:29	-10	15
17	Nottingham Forest	15	4	3	8	14:25	-11	15
18	West Ham United	14	3	3	8	16:28	-12	12
19	Burnley FC Reserve	15	3	1	11	16:30	-14	10
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers	14	0	2	12	7:29	-22	2

Head to Head

This is the 209th meeting between the rivals, with the first meeting coming in 1896 when the visitors were known as Woolwich Arsenal.

Arsenal have had the beating of Spurs in the past, winning 86 and drawing 55 of the 208 meetings. The meeting earlier in the season saw an entertaining 2-2 draw at the Emirates. Arsenal did the double over Tottenham the year before.

Tip:

60+ Booking Points

Best Odd

1.80

Brand

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Statistical highlights

It should be a tight but exciting game on Sunday. Arsenal have the best defensive record in the league, conceding six fewer than their nearest competitors. David Raya has kept the most clean sheets in the league (14) so the Gunners' backline is a hard one to breach.

Tottenham vs. Arsenal

Resilient Gunners

Arsenal have conceded the fewest goals in the league

Ruthless Raya

Raya has kept the most clean sheets in the league (14)

Feisty Affairs

The last four meetings have all seen at least five cards

Our Betting Tip for Today

With the respective home/away records the teams are tough to split and it's hard to call a winner. Instead, we'll tip a bet from another market. This bet has won in three of the last four meetings.

Feisty Affair

In three of the last four meetings, over 5.5 cards has won.

Tottenham have received an average of 2.68 yellow cards per game this season, with their opponents averaging a league-high 2.97. Overall, Spurs games see an average of 5.65.

Arsenal are on the other end of the spectrum in terms of cards. The Gunners average 1.73 cards per game, with their opponents averaging 2.35 cards. Their games average 4.08 cards.

Michael Oliver is the official overseeing the game, he averages 4.39 cards per game. With the h2h record of cards and the importance of the game for both, expect to see plenty of cards.

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