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Tottenham Hotspur enter this fixture five points behind opponents Aston Villa in the Premier League table. Still, they remain a shorter price than the West Midlands club to finish in the top four, and they are odds-on to triumph at home on Sunday.
Tottenham slumped to a 1-0 loss at the hands of Crystal Palace last weekend in the Eagles’ first league victory of the campaign.
The result prompted goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario to question his team’s “desire to fight”. They responded with a 2-1 Carabao Cup success over a much-changed Manchester City side.
Spurs have won six of their seven home games in all competitions this term, albeit mostly against teams they were expected to beat. Ange Postecoglou’s record against the top sides in England isn’t the best, having lost to Man City, Arsenal, Aston Villa, and Chelsea at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in 2023-24.
Aston Villa were seconds away from moving into third place a week ago, but Evanilson’s 96th-minute leveller turned it into a disappointing afternoon against Bournemouth.
The Carabao Cup exit at the hands of Palace on Wednesday won’t have improved the mood, even though they welcomed Tyrone Mings back after almost 15 months on the sidelines.
Unai Emery’s team have a one-point cushion over fifth-place Chelsea and will have Spurs breathing down their necks if the hosts win top on Sunday.
Unlike Tottenham, Villa have a clean bill of health this weekend. They enjoyed their trips to north London last season, winning at Spurs and Arsenal.
The last time a match between Tottenham and Aston Villa ended in a draw was in May 2012. There has been a winner in every meeting in north London since Spurs won 2-1 at White Hart Lane in October 2010.
Spurs put up a brave fight in defeat against Villa at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium a year ago. The visitors went off as favourites, largely due to Spurs’ extensive list of injuries, and despite falling behind to a Giovani Lo Celso effort, Unai Emery’s team came out on top.
Postecoglou got his revenge at Villa Park in March, though, as Tottenham ran out 4-0 winners.
Tottenham tend not to draw, while Aston Villa tend not to lose. Yet it is the home team that are priced as odds-on favourites for this Super Sunday battle.
Villa’s only loss in the league thus far came against Spurs’ bitter rivals Arsenal.
Aston Villa have scored at least twice in each of their away games in all competitions this season, and there have been three or more total goals in each of those matches. The best bet is for both teams to score and over 9.5 corners.
“It’s just who we are, mate” - a quote that people like to poke fun at Postecoglou about, but the Spurs boss’ high-line tactic remains non-negotiable. It is more difficult to implement it effectively without Micky van de Ven, who tweaked his hamstring on Wednesday and will be out until after the international break.
The Dutchman’s absence will be music to the ears of Aston Villa, who have found the net 16 times in six domestic and European away fixtures in 2024-25.
There have been 28 goals in total across Spurs’ four home league fixtures and Villa’s four away outings this term. The visitors have conceded in six consecutive top-flight matches on the road going back to last season.
As well as expecting goals in north London, corners should also be on the menu. Tottenham are averaging over 10 per game at home as well as giving up an average of five. Lilywhites matches have produced more corners than any other team in the league.
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