USA vs Canada Predictions, Odds & Sports Betting Tips 07/10/2023

USA – Canada

Tip:

USA (-1) to win

15/8

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Home Win 1

0%

3/5

Draw X

0%

11/4

Away Win 2

0%

15/4

The final Gold Cup quarter final sees USA and Canada face off in an intriguing looking battle at the TQL Stadium in Cincinnati. Both sides were unbeaten in the group stages, although it was the US who caught the eye with a remarkable 13 goals in their three games. 

After a late equalizer gave them a share of the points against Jamaica in their opening group game, the United States went into overdrive for their final two matches. Consecutive 6-0 victories over Trinidad & Tobago and St Kitts & Nevis saw them cruise to the top of Group A.

Jesus Ferreira was the star of those victories with back-to-back hat tricks. He now has an excellent record of 14 goals in 21 international appearances, and his form could be the key to US success in the knockout stages.

After starting their campaign with two disappointing draws against Guadeloupe and Guatemala, Canada needed a dramatic 4-2 victory over Cuba to progress through Group D. The big concern for Canada during the group games was a leaky defence, which conceded four goals and looked vulnerable in all three games.

It is clear that the Canadians are missing their star player Alphonso Davies. The Bayern Munich man has been out since April with a hamstring injury, and the Canada side look like a much weaker outfit without his presence.

The two sides met as recently as last month, with the US emerging 2-0 winners on that occasion. That was also the outcome when the teams met in the 2021 Gold Cup, making the head to head in the competition stand at 5-0 to the US.

Overall, the US holds a 19-12 advantage in games between the teams. Although the previous three matchups have seen one win apiece plus a draw.

Tip:

USA (-1) to win

Best Odd

15/8

Brand

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There is a rich history of games between the USA and Canada. This means we have a lot of statistics to consider when putting together our betting tip for the game. So whilst we have listed three key stats below, there are a lot more metrics to weigh up when previewing the game.

The absence of Davies, plus the scintillating form of the US means that the bookies have Canada as long as 15/4 to win in 90 minutes. In contrast, the US are just ⅗ to get the job done in normal time. The draw is best priced at 11/4

The recent head to head points towards a close game, but when you factor in the form of Ferreira and the absence of Davies, this looks like a daunting task for Canada.

As such, we are not only predicting a home success but think the US can cover the handicap and win by at least 2 goals. The odds on this are 15/8 with Bet365 and we think this represents excellent value given the form and likely lineups. If you think the US will win by at least three goals, you can get 5/1, which is a much riskier option, but still a solid price.

Tip:

USA (-1) to win

Best Odd

15/8

Brand

Max. Bonus

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