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Aston Villa vs Manchester United - Match Preview and Betting Tips - Sunday 11th February 2024

Publish Date: 10/02/2024
Fact checked by: James Leeland
Aston Villa – Manchester United
Tip:
BTTS and Aston Villa Double Chance
1.95
Bet365
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Home Win 1
46.5%
2.15
Bet365
Draw X
26.7%
3.75
Bet365
Away Win 2
32.3%
3.10
Bet365

The second game in a bumper Super Sunday comes from Villa Park as Unai Emery's Aston Villa host Erik Ten Hag's Manchester United. The Red Devils are eight points off Sunday's hopes, so it feels like it's now or never if United are to launch a fight for the last Champions League  spot. The last meeting saw Manchester United come from 2-0 down to win 3-2 so the Villians will be keen to avenge this.

Recent form analysis

Aston VillaFortress Villa Park

After losing to Arsenal in February 2023, Aston Villa embarked on a historic run, going 17 home league games unbeaten. This was undone at the end of January, losing 3-1 to Newcastle thanks to a Fabian Schar brace.

Still, there are many reasons to remain positive for Villa fans. They still occupy the final Champions League spot and boast the third best home record in the league, winning nine of their 11 games at Villa Park.

Tottenham are the main competition for Unai Emery's side. They visit on the 10th of March in what is sure to be a lively encounter.

Villa rank level with Arsenal and Liverpool for home goals scored (30), while only Manchester City (10) and Liverpool (9) have conceded less home goals.

Ollie Watkins has undoubtedly been key, with the 28-year-old registering 21 goal contributions in just 23 matches. The 28-year-old will need to be firing on all cylinders if Villa are to get a result.

Manchester UnitedManchester United Showing Signs Of Old?

Manchester United have endured a tough decade or so, failing to win a Premier League title since 2013. Many managers have come and gone, failing to deliver success to such a grandiose club.

Erik Ten Hag is the latest manager trusted with delivering league success, but the Dutchman has also found life in the Premier League tough, despite winning the Carabao Cup in his first season.

The 54-year-old has come under immense scrutiny for performances on the pitch and issues off the pitch, with his man-management and recruitment cited as a major reasons for poor performances on the pitch.

Despite this, The Red Devils have won back-to-back league games in February to keep their feint Champions League hopes alive. After throwing away a 3-1 lead at Wolves, conceding in the 95th minute to Pedro Neto. However, young superstar Kobbie Mainoo saved the day, curling in a beauty in the 97th minute.

They followed this up with a resounding 3-0 victory over West Ham, with goals from Rasmus Hojlund and a brace from Alejandro sealing the three points.

Seven goals in two league games will please Ten Hag, with Manchester United's 31 goals scored the fewest in the top 11. He will be particularly relieved that Rasmus Hojlund has finally found his goalscoring form after a multimillion pound move from Atalanta in the summer. The 21-year-old has now scored in four consecutive league games.

Head to Head

Sunday will mark the 198th meeting between the sides, in a fixture Manchester United have dominated, winning 105 of these. Villa have recorded 51 victories, while the scores have been level on 41 occasions. While Manchester United have won the last three meetings, these have all been at Old Trafford. The Red Devils have failed to win in their last two visits to Villa Park.

Tip:
BTTS and Aston Villa Double Chance
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Statistical highlights

Aston Villa are renowned for their high line, making their games fascinating for the neutrals. In fact, Villa's opponents have averaged a league high 4.56 offsides per game, with only Crystal Palace and Everton being caught offside less than twice. The reverse fixture saw Manchester United record a staggering nine offsides.

Aston Villa also rank top for home yellows received (3.09), while Manchester United have picked up 2.73 per away game. Both draw over 2 card per game, with Aston Villa's opponents at Villa Park averaging 2.9 cards and Manchester United's opponents away from home seeing 2.18.

Lastly, While Manchester United rank last for BTTS away from home (4/11), it has landed in their last two league aways. Villa have seen it in 8/11 at home- with BTTS landing in the reverse fixture.

Our Betting Tip for Today: BTTS & Aston Villa Double Chance

Aston Villa vs. Manchester United
Offside Trap
Villa's opponents have averaged a league high 4.56 offsides per game,
Card Galore
Aston Villa rank top for home yellows received (3.09), while Manchester United have picked up 2.73 per away game.
Goals at Villa Park
8/11 league games at Villa Park have seen BTTS

The game is too close too call, but goals stand out. With Villa only losing once at home, I am leaning towards them avoiding defeat again. BTTS and Villa double chance has landed in 7/11 games at Villa Park.

As mentioned, a tight, high scoring game is expected and I can't separate the sides. Aston Villa's home form is exceptional, but Manchester United seem to be playing with more freedom, with Rasmus Hojlund and Alejandro Garnacho finally finding form. An entertaining 1-1 draw is the score prediction.

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