Struggling Werder Bremen are desperately in need of points this weekend as they welcome VfL Wolfsburg to the Weser-Stadion on Sunday afternoon. The River Islanders are second from bottom of the Bundesliga table and three points would give their relegation battle a real boost. For Wolfsburg, this game is all about getting a win that can help them fight off the challenge of Hoffenheim and hang onto a European qualification place. Read on to find out where you can find the best betting value in what should be an intriguing Bundesliga clash.
Florian Kohfeldt’s Bremen side need to pick up some points if they want to fight off the challenge of a rapidly improving Fotuna Dusseldorf team in the battle to remain in the Bundesliga. In midweek, things did not go well for the River Islanders, however, as they were beaten 3-0 at home by Eintracht Frankfurt. That brought to an end a tidy little unbeaten run of three games that had included two away 1-0 victories – at Freiburg and Schalke 04 – as well as a 0-0 draw at home to Borussia Monchengladbach. Defensively, Bremen have been pretty strong recently, though the Frankfurt result indicates that defensive resolve may be weakening.
Oliver Glasner’s Wolves also head into this game on the back of a defeat to Frankfurt. Last weekend Wolfsburg welcomed Eintracht to the Volkswagen Arena and were beaten 2-1, conceding the winner in the 85th minute. That defeat means that the Wolves are now on the same number of points as Hoffenhheim, who are seventh place in the Bundesliga table on goal difference. Glasner will want his team to return quickly to form this weekend, and will be pleased that Hoffenheim face what could be a testing trip to a rapidly improving Dusseldorf team. If they can win, and Fortuna can do them a favour, it could be a good weekend for Wolfsburg.
Despite Werder’s current lowly position in the league, it was them who got the best of the reverse fixture earlier in the season. Bremen won the clash at the Volkswagen Arena 3-2. It was a bit of thriller, with Werder losing the lead twice before Milot Rashica struck his second goal in the game’s 83rd minute to seal the victory for the visitors. If you think that Rashica can repeat his feat and bag another brace of goals then Coral have him priced at 22/1 to score two or more goals on Sunday. The Kosovar winger currently has seven Bundesliga goals to his name this season.
Indeed, Werder have not lost to Wolfsburg since 2015, when they were hammered 6-0 at the Volkswagen Arena. Since then, the men from Bremen have dominated the fixture. In the last eight games between the teams, the River Islanders have won six and drawn two. While the relative fortunes of the teams have been pretty different in 2019/20, it is Werder who can draw more hope from recent history.
Whether that run of results preys on the minds of the Wolves remains to be seen, but it certainly suggests that there is some kind of psychological block in place around the fixture for Glasner’s team. Another thing to note about that run of eight games is that there tends to be goals in this fixture. In those eight games, there has been only one clean sheet. That came in October 2018, when Werder won 2-0 at home. That is the only game in the last eight in which both teams haven’t scored. If you want to back both teams to score on Sunday then Coral have that market priced at 7/10, so they clearly think it likely.
Wolfsburg are certainly the team in the stronger league position, but we think Werder’s relegation battle gives them just as much motivation in this fixture. This will be a tough test for the Wolves, and we strongly suspect that any punter who backs the home side to win will be celebrating on Sunday night.
Our recommended tip for this game comes from Coral, who are offering odds of 5/1 on Bremen to win and both teams to score. Our prediction for this game is that it will follow the pattern of recent clashes between these teams and end in a win for the home side with both sides scoring. Our scoreline prediction is 2-1 in Werder’s favour. If they manage to pull that scoreline off, and Fortuna do them a favour against Hoffenheim, it could turn out to be a very good weekend for Florian Kohfeldt’s team.