Wolverhampton Wanderers – Newcastle United
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It has been a worrisome start to the campaign for Wolverhampton Wanderers, who got their first point on the board at the third time of asking in their most recent fixture against Nottingham Forest. They host an in-form Newcastle United side who look ready to launch an attack on Champions League qualification.
Uphill Battle for Wolves
The summer didn’t exactly go to plan for Gary O’Neil. Having had eight weeks to find a successor to Max Kilman, the only centre-back to arrive at the club during the transfer window was 18-year-old Bastien Meupiyou, who has only played nine minutes of senior football in his career.
Yerson Mosquera, who spent last season on loan at FC Cincinnati and then Villarreal, has started all three league games at the heart of defence thus far.
Pedro Neto was also not replaced like-for-like, leaving Wolves fans understandably concerned about the squad. The point at Forest was at least a small step in the right direction but with difficult fixtures on the horizon, it could get worse before it gets any better.
No Europe No Problem
Newcastle won’t want to make a habit of having seasons without continental action but they have made the ideal start as they look to make the most of their reduced schedule this term.
Eddie Howe was happy for the Magpies to allow Tottenham Hotspur to dominate possession in their fixture two weeks ago - a gameplan that worked to perfection, just as it did the last time he welcomed Ange Postecoglou’s side to St. James’ Park.
That tactical adaptability has led to speculation around Howe being considered for the England job. For now, though, he has a top-four race on his hands, and with key players gradually returning from various absences, they appear to have an excellent chance.
Wolves Wins Hard to Come By
Newcastle have had the better of the recent head-to-heads against Wolves, with three wins and two draws in the last five. The two encounters in which the West Midlands side avoided defeat were both at Molineux, where the Magpies have not won since both teams were in the Championship.
Wolves boast just one home triumph and one away victory versus Newcastle since returning to the top flight for the 2018-19 season. Their sole home win during that time came in October 2021 when Hwang Hee-chan scored twice. The Korean also netted in both meetings between the teams in 2023.
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There has been little to choose between Wolves and Newcastle over the last six seasons, in terms of their fixtures against one another and their average league positions.
Wolves were more successful in their first two seasons back in the Premier League before only one position separated the pair in both 2020-21 and 2021-22.
The Magpies have pulled away over the last two campaigns, though, while Wolves have found themselves towards the bottom end of mid-table.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Newcastle United
1
Five of Wolves’ last six home matches with Newcastle have resulted in draws.
2
Ten of the last 12 league meetings between the sides have seen both teams score.
3
There were five consecutive 1-1 draws involving Wolves and Newcastle from 2019 to 2021.
Our Betting Tip for Today
Alexander Isak helped himself to three goals during the international break and now faces one of the league’s leakiest defences. The best bet for this game is for Isak to get on the scoresheet.
Super Swede to Strike
Given how prolific he is, it was perhaps a surprise that it took Isak three Premier League matches to get off the mark this season, but it was a backs-against-the-wall job on the opening weekend with 10 men and his blank at Bournemouth wasn’t for the want of trying, as he had five shots.
A double in Azerbaijan and a typical striker’s finish against Estonia made it 20 goals in 30 appearances for club and country in 2024, a year in which he has only missed four games through injury.
Looking fully fit and confident in front of goal, Isak will pose a huge threat to Wolves, who shipped six in their last home game and have not kept a clean sheet in the league since February.
The Magpies are odds-on to score two or more, but the better value play is surely to back Isak at 11/8, especially with Callum Wilson still out.
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