
With three of the six CONCACAF representatives hosting the 2026 World Cup, there’s little to no surprise to see them dominate this market. USA, Mexico and Canada will fancy themselves to spring a few surprises this summer, but which one will have the last laugh and progress the furthest?
Panama, Curacao and Haiti will also represent their continent, but their prices and lack of experience suggest their tournaments could be short lived. Instead, we’ll focus on the trio of hosts and analyse which nation can come out on top. Nathan Joyes will be providing World Cup betting predictions throughout the tournament, and has analysed the top North American team World Cup betting market.
| Team | Top North American Team Betting Odds |
|---|---|
| USA | 5/4 |
| Mexico | 6/4 |
| Canada | 7/2 |
| Panama | 33/1 |
| Haiti | 66/1 |
USA lead the market at 11/8 and after a strong run of results at the end of 2025, they had almost justified their price. However, two confidence knocking defeats against Belgium (5-2) and Portugal (2-0) were concerning for Mauricio Pochettino. This was the first time they had faced European opposition since their 4-0 defeat against Switzerland back in June 2025, where they also lost to Turkey.
Their draw sees them against Paraguay, who have a poor record on US soil, as well as Australia, and it is widely expected that they should progress. Anything else would be a complete failure. But a draw against a European outfit in the knockout stage would certainly see the hosts wince, and a swift exit could be on the cards.
Mexico (13/8) will feel confident in Group A that they can not only get out of it but also top it. Two of their three matches are to be played in Mexico City, 7,000 feet above sea level. And while the hosts will relish the conditions, visiting nations might just struggle.
But it won’t just be about the conditions for the hosts. Mexico also faced Portugal and Belgium during the same international break as the US, securing back-to-back draws and a clean sheet vs the former.
They have three more friendlies before the tournament, and are one of the first teams to bring their training camp together. There’s plenty to like when it comes to the Mexicans, which I’ll dive into later in this column.
Canada (10/3) have perhaps been overlooked compared to their other neighbouring hosts but are in a group that should fill them with hope. One win over Qatar could see them through, but they’ll want at least two to avoid a difficult tie in the next round.
Again, Canada will look to take advantage of their home environment during the group stage, who will do minimal travelling while having plenty of support behind them. They have, however, struggled for goals over the last 12 months which could see Jesse Marsch’s side fall short.
Winner - Mexico at 11/10 with Star Sports
The US have shown consistently that they struggle against European opposition and their price seems to be based on the fact that they are hosts. Yet both Belgium and Portugal brushed them to one side in Atlanta just a few months ago and those results - and performances - would have concerned Pochettino.
Instead, this creates value for Mexico to progress the furthest. Not only will they have an immense amount of home support and altitude advantage, but El Tri have two forwards that can truly hurt defences in Group A. If they progress in 1st, they’ll have that home altitude advantage again, and this market may only take one knockout round in order to come out on top.
Al Qadsiah’s Julian Quinones has dominated the Saudi Pro League this campaign with 33 goals in 31 appearances. Armando Gonzalez has scored 24 in 35 league matches for Guadalajara. Throw in Raul Jimenez and German Berterame, that’s a lot of firepower to be concerned about.
Mexico have the easier group and has to be considered with the US looking shaky against European opposition for quite some time.
Outsiders - Canada at 10/3
If my hand was forced to include another nation, it’s near impossible to look towards Panama, Curacao or Haiti to win this market. Instead, I’ll happily turn to Canada to make it further than the US and potentially dead heat with Mexico and receive two decent payouts.
As mentioned, Canada’s group consisting of Bosnia, Switzerland and Qatar is far from intimidating. Two years ago, Canada held their own at Copa America before falling short against world champions Argentina, and have since improved, especially defensively.
There’s a concern about who’s going to score the goals but two 0-0 draws with Colombia and Ecuador at the end of 2025 showed they can go toe-to-toe with solid teams. Four points may secure 2nd in Group B, and a generous draw in the round of 32 makes Canada’s price appealing, especially with the US dealing with Paraguay and Turkey in Group D. Backing Canada to the the top North American team could be a smart way to redeem a World Cup betting promotion.

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