World Cup Accumulator Tips

Day 11 of the 2026 World Cup keeps the second round of group matches rolling, and for plenty of teams, the margin for error is starting to shrink.

Throughout the tournament, Ben Smith will provide our World Cup betting tips and previews in the form of a daily acca using BetMGM odds, focusing on player and team statistics, disciplinary markets, shots and other alternative angles rather than traditional match betting.

Sunday’s card has an interesting feel to it because several of these sides left very different impressions first time out. Spain failed to break down Cape Verde, Belgium fell flat, Uruguay came away with less than they probably deserved and Egypt showed there may be more to them than many expected.

The action begins at 5pm UK time as Spain face Saudi Arabia before Belgium take on Iran. Uruguay then meet Cape Verde at 11pm before New Zealand against Egypt rounds things off at 2am.

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Spain v Saudi Arabia - Lamine Yamal to Give an Assist (27/20)

Lamine Yamal’s hamstring issue meant he was limited to a 20-minute cameo in Spain’s opener against Cape Verde. He looked lively after coming on but could not provide the breakthrough as the underdogs held on for a memorable point.

Spain will not want to leave themselves needing a result against Uruguay in the final round, so it already feels like the time is right to bring Yamal into the starting XI.

His numbers for the national team are excellent, averaging 2.26 chances created per 90, and Spain should expect a much cleaner attacking display after falling short of expectations in Atlanta.

Saudi Arabia allowed Uruguay 27 shots in their opener and needed things to fall their way at times to come away with a point. If they give Spain similar territory and volume here, Yamal should have opportunities to create and ultimately land an assist.

Belgium v Iran - Ramin Rezaeian Over 1.5 Fouls (8/5)

Jeremy Doku’s reputation as one of the best foul winners in world football is well earned, and he showed exactly why in Belgium’s World Cup opener, drawing five fouls against Egypt.

I put up Mohamed Hany to commit over 1.5 fouls in that game and it was frustrating that only one of the five offences on Doku came from the Egypt right-back. He was not getting much joy down that side and eventually started drifting elsewhere to find more success.

That does not change the thinking though.

Iran right-back Ramin Rezaeian is available at 8/5 to commit two fouls and that looks a price worth taking. Doku remains Belgium’s most direct outlet and his willingness to isolate defenders, shift direction and attack repeatedly makes him one of the toughest matchups in football.

Uruguay v Cape Verde - Under 1.5 Cape Verde Shots on Target (7/4)

Cape Verde gave a far better account of themselves against Spain than most expected. The game finished goalless but was still one of the more entertaining matches of the tournament so far, particularly late on when Spain pushed forward and Cape Verde looked capable of catching them on the counter.

The problem was quality in the final third. Too many promising situations broke down through poor decision-making and they never quite made the most of the spaces they found.

They finished with only one shot on target and I think they’re too short here to improve on that against another superior opponent.

Uruguay were underwhelming early on against Saudi Arabia but improved once they settled and probably did enough to deserve more than a draw. That leaves little room for error and I’d expect a more sensible display this time.

New Zealand v Egypt - Emam Ashour Over 0.5 Shots on Target (9/10)

Emam Ashour was one of Egypt’s standout performers against Belgium. He opened the scoring with an excellent strike from range and also contributed all over the pitch, drawing three fouls in an energetic display.

Initially I looked towards backing fouls committed by New Zealand players down his side, with Joe Bell and Tim Payne the obvious candidates after Ashour was fouled so often, but their prices feel a bit tight and neither is especially aggressive.

Instead, I’d rather stay with Ashour himself and back a shot on target.

He is never afraid to pull the trigger, as we saw in the opener, and his usual output sits around three shots per game anyway. Against a New Zealand side Egypt will feel they can create chances against, Ashour looks capable of being involved again.

Accumulator Odds 30/1

Yamal can benefit from Spain’s expected dominance, Doku’s direct running may force fouls again, Uruguay should keep Cape Verde quiet and Ashour can continue his bright start.

Combined, the four selections pay at attractive odds of 30/1 with BetMGM.

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