World Cup Accumulator Tips

Day 12 of the 2026 World Cup brings another set of second-round group games, as we get another look at Kylian Mbappe, Lionel Messi and Erling Haaland.

Throughout the tournament, Ben Smith will provide our World Cup betting tips and previews in the form of a daily acca using BetMGM odds, focusing on player and team statistics, disciplinary markets, shots and other alternative angles rather than traditional match betting.

2022 finalists Argentina and France both won their openers, while Senegal left with a feeling they may have deserved more. Norway were not always convincing despite the scoreline against Iraq, and Austria’s opening win perhaps looks more comfortable on paper than it really was.

The action starts at 6pm UK time as Argentina face Austria before France take on Iraq at 10pm. Norway meet Senegal at 1am before Jordan and Algeria close the schedule at 4am.

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Argentina v Austria - Romano Schmid Over 0.5 shots (5/6)

Argentina did what was expected in their opener, easing past Algeria to extend an impressive winning run and reinforce their status as one of the favourites to retain the trophy. Austria also made a winning start against Jordan, but this is a very different test and should give us a much clearer idea of where Ralf Rangnick’s side stand.

Algeria managed just seven shots against the world champions. Austria are odds-on to better that total here, and I like Romano Schmid to contribute one of them.

The Werder Bremen midfielder averages 0.92 efforts per 90 under Ralf Rangnick, while his club numbers suggest there is scope for even more involvement.

He also arrives with confidence after a superb strike from distance against Jordan. With his shots line being over/under 0.5, we’re not asking much here from someone willing to shoot from range. Operating from the right side of the attacking midfield three, Schmid should find opportunities to pull the trigger.

France v Iraq - Under 2.5 Cards (10/11)

The cards line for this game is set at 2.5 and I’m surprised to see the over marginally favoured.

At the time of writing, 2.5 sits close to the tournament average and this does not strike me as the sort of fixture likely to boil over.

There was only one booking across the opening matches in Group I, with Iraq’s Zaid Tahseen cautioned for a fairly routine holding foul rather than anything reckless.

France laboured for long periods against Senegal but that game still produced only 14 fouls. Didier Deschamps’ side improved after the break yet there was never much edge or hostility to the contest.

Les Bleus are comfortably the stronger outfit, and one-sided matches often produce fewer cards, while Iraq’s meeting with Senegal feels far more likely to decide their fate.

Norway v Senegal - Nicolas Jackson to Score (23/10)

We saw both sides of Norway in their 4-1 win over Iraq. Going forward they looked excellent, with Haaland scoring twice and Antonio Nusa causing problems throughout, but there were defensive moments they will not be entirely happy with. Iraq had spells of control and created more than many thought they would.

That should encourage Senegal, who for 45 minutes were the better side against France and there is no reason they cannot have opportunities again here. Nicolas Jackson may not have been clinical in that game, but he remained heavily involved and consistently found dangerous positions.

With quality supply from wide areas and Norway showing they can be got at defensively, Jackson’s price to score looks big.

Jordan v Algeria - Jordan Most Shots on Target (11/4)

Jordan were better than anticipated against Austria, especially in the first half where they finished ahead on shots, shots on target, corners and xG. They were good value for their equaliser shortly after the break before Austria’s superior quality eventually showed.

Algeria had the tougher assignment against Argentina but the performance was still disappointing. On that evidence, I could not back them at 7/20 to win the shots on target battle here and Jordan look overpriced at 11/4.

Jordan do average more shots per game, although the quality of opposition is generally softer than Algeria usually face. Even allowing for that, Ali Olwan gives them a real edge in attacking areas. He averages 1.5 shots on target per 90 and can single-handely give us a chance here against an Algeria team I’m unconvinced by.

Accumulator Odds 42/1

There are a few different angles holding this acca together. Austria should contribute enough attacking moments for Schmid to get involved, France and Iraq does not look like the type of game to spill over into cards, Senegal can trouble a Norway side that gave chances away in their opener and Jordan may be more competitive in attack than the market expects.

Combined, the four selections make a 42/1 shot with BetMGM.

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