
Day 15 of the 2026 World Cup brings another batch of final group games and there is plenty to play for.
Throughout the tournament, Ben Smith has been providing our 2026 World Cup betting tips with a daily acca using BetMGM odds, focusing on player and team statistics, disciplinary markets, shots and other alternative angles rather than match odds.
Group E looks particularly interesting. Germany have already secured top spot and may rotate accordingly, but Ecuador know only a win keeps them alive. Ivory Coast also still have work to do after conceding late last time out, while Curacao head into the night with a genuine chance of turning one point into a place in the knockout rounds.
Elsewhere, Japan’s goal difference has left them in a commanding position in Group F, Sweden only need a point and the USA have already done enough to progress.
The action starts at 9pm UK time and runs through until the early hours of Friday with the last set of matches starting at 3am.
John Yeboah shots were part of my winning acca on June 14th and the Ecuador winger gets another chance here, with his line set at 1.5 for a decisive final group game against Germany.
Die Mannschaft are already guaranteed top spot in Group E after the late winner against Ivory Coast secured a round of 32 tie in Foxborough on Monday against a third-placed side.
Ecuador need victory to have any chance of progressing and there should be no shortage of attacking intent against a potentially heavily-rotated Germany side.
Yeboah rarely needs a second invitation to let fly. Operating from the right, he regularly shifts onto his left foot and unleashes efforts from just about anywhere.
His recent international output reads 3, 3, 2, 4, 2 and 3 shots, which makes this line look very achievable with Ecuador forced onto the front foot.
The other game in Group E carries plenty of jeopardy too. Conceding late against Germany means Ivory Coast are not safely through despite beating Ecuador in their opener.
Curacao, remarkably, are still right in the mix. They have just one point after battling to a draw with Ecuador, and a win here would almost certainly be enough.
That should force them onto the front foot and their shot numbers suggest they are capable of it. They managed eight efforts against Germany and followed that with 10 against Ecuador.
Livano Comenencia looks the obvious player to oblige. He scored with one of his two shots against Germany and then registered three more attempts against Ecuador.
His odds for over 1.5 shots look bigger than expected given how often he drives forward, carries the ball into dangerous areas and backs himself from distance.
Japan are all but through to the round of 32 after thrashing Tunisia 4-0, a result which massively boosted their goal difference and added to the point they picked up against the Netherlands.
They are yet to receive a yellow card in the tournament and, given how low card counts have generally been, there could be value in backing that trend to continue.
Sweden only need a point themselves, so this is unlikely to become especially chaotic.
There is every chance cards stay low across the board, but rather than needing both teams to cooperate, I’d rather just trust Japan to keep doing what they’ve done so far.
The USA are already through and Turkey are already out, which makes both line-ups and overall intensity difficult to predict.
It is hard to imagine either side going full throttle and those situations can sometimes create value in less obvious markets.
I like Turkey in the most shots on target betting. They actually won that battle in defeats to both Paraguay and Australia and have had a whopping 62 attempts at the tournament.
The USA also noticeably eased off once they had control against Australia and there is every chance Mauricio Pochettino takes a similarly pragmatic approach here rather than asking his side to empty the tank ahead of the knockout stage.
That leaves Turkey looking a touch overpriced in various markets, including this one.
This acca leans heavily on motivation and game state. Ecuador and Curacao should have no option but to attack, Japan may not need to get involved in a physical contest and Turkey could benefit if the USA manage their minutes with bigger tests to come.
Combined, the four selections return 45/1 with BetMGM.
BetMGM is not only one of the best World Cup betting sites, but they also have several World Cup betting offers and free bets, including a welcome bonus which allows new users to claim £40 in free bets after signing up and placing a £10 wager. Some of those free bets can be used on this summer's big tournament. Check out the BetMGM bonus.

+18 | Please gamble responsibly | Commercial content | T&Cs apply GambleAware.com