AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction & Stats | EFL League One | 17/09
The encounter between AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons is set to kick off at 20:00 on Thursday, 17/09.
This EFL League One fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
1st Half Draw
Why we predict the first half to end in a draw
We expect a draw in the first half for the AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons fixture.
Both sides are likely to approach the opening period cautiously, focusing on structure and possession. A balanced first half with limited chances could result in a level score at halftime.
Key Betting Insights
AFC Wimbledon
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
5 matches against Milton Keynes Dons ended in a draw
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of AFC Wimbledon's last 5 matches
Milton Keynes Dons
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
5 matches against AFC Wimbledon ended in a draw
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
1st Half Draw: 11/10
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AFC Wimbledon Preview
AFC Wimbledon has completed 6 fixtures in the EFL League One, securing 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1.67 points per game. In the EFL League One, the team has scored 5 goals (0.83 per game) and conceded 7 (1.17 per game).
Across all competitions this season, AFC Wimbledon has played 64 matches, scoring 76 goals (1.19 per match) and conceding 101 (1.58 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
AFC Wimbledon
Goals Scored:76
Goals Conceded:101
Average Goals Scored:1.19
Average Goals Conceded:1.58
Wins:22
Goal Difference:-25
Date
Game
Result
17/09
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
D
12/09
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Doncaster Rovers
W
07/09
Bromley
0 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
W
02/09
Burton Albion
4 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
L
30/08
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Wigan Athletic
W
AFC Wimbledon to win the match: 7/4
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Milton Keynes Dons Preview
Across 6 EFL League One matches, Milton Keynes Dons has posted 0 victories, 5 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 0.83 points per fixture. In those games they scored 8 (1.33 per match) and conceded 10 (1.67 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Milton Keynes Dons has earned 26 wins from 60 matches across all competitions, scoring 103 goals (1.72 per match) and conceding 75 (1.25 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Milton Keynes Dons
Goals Scored:103
Goals Conceded:75
Average Goals Scored:1.72
Average Goals Conceded:1.25
Wins:26
Goal Difference:28
Date
Game
Result
17/09
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
D
12/09
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 1
Peterborough United
D
05/09
Wycombe Wanderers
3 - 3
Milton Keynes Dons
D
02/09
Wigan Athletic
3 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
L
29/08
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 0
Leicester
D
Milton Keynes Dons to win the match: 6/4
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Statistical Insights for AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
AFC Wimbledon
England - EFL League One
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
L
W
L
1.8
Home
W
W
D
D
L
1.6
Away
W
L
L
D
L
0.8
Milton Keynes Dons
England - EFL League One
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
D
D
L
D
0.8
Home
D
D
D
W
W
1.8
Away
D
L
D
L
D
0.6
Home Win
7/4
37.04%
Draw
9/4
30.77%
Favourite
Away Win
6/4
39.22%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
AFC Wimbledon
5
last 5 matches
Milton Keynes Dons
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams scored the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.
AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons goals scored count, last 5 matches
Doncaster Rovers
1
Bromley
2
Burton Albion
1
Wigan Athletic
1
Fulham
0
0
AFC Wimbledon
1
Peterborough United
3
Wycombe Wanderers
1
Wigan Athletic
0
Leicester
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
AFC Wimbledon
7
last 5 matches
Milton Keynes Dons
7
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams conceded the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.
AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Doncaster Rovers
0
Bromley
0
Burton Albion
4
Wigan Athletic
0
Fulham
3
0
AFC Wimbledon
1
Peterborough United
3
Wycombe Wanderers
3
Wigan Athletic
0
Leicester
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Key metrics
Corners
AFC Wimbledon
27
last 5 matches
Milton Keynes Dons
26
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
AFC Wimbledon received +4% more corners than Milton Keynes Dons in the last 5 matches.
AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons corners count, last 5 matches
Doncaster Rovers
6
Bromley
4
Burton Albion
7
Wigan Athletic
6
Fulham
4
6
AFC Wimbledon
6
Peterborough United
5
Wycombe Wanderers
5
Wigan Athletic
4
Leicester
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Key metrics
Cards
AFC Wimbledon
9
last 5 matches
Milton Keynes Dons
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams got the same number of cards in the last 5 matches.
AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons cards count, last 5 matches
Doncaster Rovers
2
Bromley
1
Burton Albion
1
Wigan Athletic
4
Fulham
1
2
AFC Wimbledon
2
Peterborough United
3
Wycombe Wanderers
2
Wigan Athletic
0
Leicester
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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